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Политика·Мировые выборы

Победитель выборов в Законодательное собрание Пудучерри

Market icon
Политика·Мировые выборы

Победитель выборов в Законодательное собрание Пудучерри

AINRC 22%

ИНК 16%

БДП 11.9%

ДМК 8%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

AINRC 22%

ИНК 16%

БДП 11.9%

ДМК 8%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ
Market icon

AINRC

$410 Объем

45%

Market icon

ИНК

$0 Объем

11%

Market icon

БДП

$0 Объем

12%

Market icon

ДМК

$0 Объем

14%

Market icon

КПИ(м)

$0 Объем

5%

Market icon

БSP

$0 Объем

5%

Market icon

АДМК

$0 Объем

8%

Market icon

КПИ

$243 Объем

1%

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Puducherry, India, in April–June 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Puducherry Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Puducherry Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Incumbent All India N.R. Congress (AINRC), leading the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) with BJP, holds trader consensus at 45.5% implied probability as the election winner, driven by a March 2026 Peoples Pulse pre-poll survey projecting NDA 14-17 seats (AINRC 9-11) in the 30-seat Puducherry Legislative Assembly, fueled by Chief Minister N. Rangasamy's 62% voter preference and welfare schemes like cash transfers offsetting anti-incumbency. Opposition Secular Progressive Alliance (DMK-Congress) trails due to recent fractures, including VCK's March 24 exit, CPI withdrawals, and friendly contests in five seats after delayed seat-sharing finalized March 23. DMK (16.5%) and Congress (11%) reflect alliance vote shares of 30-32%, while BJP (13%) benefits from NDA coordination; TVK's independent run fragments youth votes. Polling occurs April 9, with results May 4.

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Puducherry, India, in April–June 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Puducherry Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Puducherry Legislative Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Объем
$653
Дата окончания
9 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 23, 2025, 4:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Puducherry, India, in April–June 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Puducherry Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Puducherry Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Puducherry, India, in April–June 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Puducherry Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Puducherry Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Incumbent All India N.R. Congress (AINRC), leading the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) with BJP, holds trader consensus at 45.5% implied probability as the election winner, driven by a March 2026 Peoples Pulse pre-poll survey projecting NDA 14-17 seats (AINRC 9-11) in the 30-seat Puducherry Legislative Assembly, fueled by Chief Minister N. Rangasamy's 62% voter preference and welfare schemes like cash transfers offsetting anti-incumbency. Opposition Secular Progressive Alliance (DMK-Congress) trails due to recent fractures, including VCK's March 24 exit, CPI withdrawals, and friendly contests in five seats after delayed seat-sharing finalized March 23. DMK (16.5%) and Congress (11%) reflect alliance vote shares of 30-32%, while BJP (13%) benefits from NDA coordination; TVK's independent run fragments youth votes. Polling occurs April 9, with results May 4.

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Puducherry, India, in April–June 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Puducherry Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Puducherry Legislative Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Объем
$653
Дата окончания
9 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 23, 2025, 4:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Puducherry, India, in April–June 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Puducherry Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Puducherry Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов в Законодательное собрание Пудучерри» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 8 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «AINRC» с 46%, за ним следует «ДМК» с 14%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 46¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 46%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Победитель выборов в Законодательное собрание Пудучерри» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Dec 23, 2025. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов в Законодательное собрание Пудучерри», просмотри 8 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов в Законодательное собрание Пудучерри» — «AINRC» с 46%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 46%. Следующий ближайший исход — «ДМК» с 14%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов в Законодательное собрание Пудучерри» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.