US national debt recently surpassed $35.7 trillion, driven by persistent deficits projected by the Congressional Budget Office to average 6% of GDP annually through 2034, ensuring continued growth with no baseline peak before 2027. High interest rates have inflated annual servicing costs beyond $1 trillion, exceeding defense spending, while the October 2024 bipartisan spending bill added over $300 billion to deficits. The debt ceiling suspension expires January 2, 2025, risking negotiations amid lame-duck congressional sessions post-election, new appropriations, and policy shifts under incoming leadership. Major fiscal restraint via spending cuts or tax hikes would be needed to alter the upward trajectory reflected in trader consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПик государственного долга США до 2027 года?
Пик государственного долга США до 2027 года?
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
40 триллионов долларов
98%
$41 триллион
45%
$42 триллиона
10%
$8,108 Объем
40 триллионов долларов
$4,626 Объем
98%
$41 триллион
$0 Объем
45%
$42 триллиона
$3,481 Объем
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.US national debt recently surpassed $35.7 trillion, driven by persistent deficits projected by the Congressional Budget Office to average 6% of GDP annually through 2034, ensuring continued growth with no baseline peak before 2027. High interest rates have inflated annual servicing costs beyond $1 trillion, exceeding defense spending, while the October 2024 bipartisan spending bill added over $300 billion to deficits. The debt ceiling suspension expires January 2, 2025, risking negotiations amid lame-duck congressional sessions post-election, new appropriations, and policy shifts under incoming leadership. Major fiscal restraint via spending cuts or tax hikes would be needed to alter the upward trajectory reflected in trader consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Открытие рынка: Nov 5, 2025, 2:41 PM ET
Объем
$8,108Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 2:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.US national debt recently surpassed $35.7 trillion, driven by persistent deficits projected by the Congressional Budget Office to average 6% of GDP annually through 2034, ensuring continued growth with no baseline peak before 2027. High interest rates have inflated annual servicing costs beyond $1 trillion, exceeding defense spending, while the October 2024 bipartisan spending bill added over $300 billion to deficits. The debt ceiling suspension expires January 2, 2025, risking negotiations amid lame-duck congressional sessions post-election, new appropriations, and policy shifts under incoming leadership. Major fiscal restraint via spending cuts or tax hikes would be needed to alter the upward trajectory reflected in trader consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Объем
$8,108Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 2:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US national debt recently surpassed $35.7 trillion, driven by persistent deficits projected by the Congressional Budget Office to average 6% of GDP annually through 2034, ensuring continued growth with no baseline peak before 2027. High interest rates have inflated annual servicing costs beyond $1 trillion, exceeding defense spending, while the October 2024 bipartisan spending bill added over $300 billion to deficits. The debt ceiling suspension expires January 2, 2025, risking negotiations amid lame-duck congressional sessions post-election, new appropriations, and policy shifts under incoming leadership. Major fiscal restraint via spending cuts or tax hikes would be needed to alter the upward trajectory reflected in trader consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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