Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jeff Merkley secured renomination with over 93 percent in the May primary and faces Republican state Sen. David Brock Smith in the November general election. Oregon’s partisan voting patterns and D+8 index have delivered consistent Democratic margins in recent Senate races, supporting trader consensus on a strong Democratic hold. Forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Democratic, reflecting Merkley’s established incumbency and fundraising edge over a lesser-known challenger. A late scandal, health development, or sharp national shift could still alter the trajectory before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат штата Орегон
Победитель выборов в Сенат штата Орегон
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократ
93%
Республиканец
7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократ
$3,065 Объем
93%
Республиканец
$1,177 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oregon U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jeff Merkley secured renomination with over 93 percent in the May primary and faces Republican state Sen. David Brock Smith in the November general election. Oregon’s partisan voting patterns and D+8 index have delivered consistent Democratic margins in recent Senate races, supporting trader consensus on a strong Democratic hold. Forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Democratic, reflecting Merkley’s established incumbency and fundraising edge over a lesser-known challenger. A late scandal, health development, or sharp national shift could still alter the trajectory before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oregon U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Объем
$4,242Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oregon U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jeff Merkley secured renomination with over 93 percent in the May primary and faces Republican state Sen. David Brock Smith in the November general election. Oregon’s partisan voting patterns and D+8 index have delivered consistent Democratic margins in recent Senate races, supporting trader consensus on a strong Democratic hold. Forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Democratic, reflecting Merkley’s established incumbency and fundraising edge over a lesser-known challenger. A late scandal, health development, or sharp national shift could still alter the trajectory before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oregon U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$4,242Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jeff Merkley secured renomination with over 93 percent in the May primary and faces Republican state Sen. David Brock Smith in the November general election. Oregon’s partisan voting patterns and D+8 index have delivered consistent Democratic margins in recent Senate races, supporting trader consensus on a strong Democratic hold. Forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Democratic, reflecting Merkley’s established incumbency and fundraising edge over a lesser-known challenger. A late scandal, health development, or sharp national shift could still alter the trajectory before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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