The crowded field of 13 Republicans vying for the open Nevada 2nd Congressional District seat following longtime Rep. Mark Amodei's retirement has kept the June 9 primary competitive, with no candidate securing a dominant edge through endorsements, fundraising, or name recognition. Former state Sen. James Settelmeyer, along with Sherman Tylawsky, George Forbush, and David Flippo, lead trader consensus in a fragmented contest where vote-splitting remains likely. Limited public polling and recent candidate interviews show comparable profiles across the top contenders, while lower-probability options reflect minimal early momentum. Further separation could emerge from final fundraising disclosures, party endorsements, or debates in the coming weeks before primary ballots are cast.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNV-02 Republican Primary Winner
James Settelmeyer 36%
David Flippo 32%
Mike Smith 5%
Sherman Tylawsky 2.0%
James Settelmeyer
36%
David Flippo
32%
Mike Smith
5%
Sherman Tylawsky
2%
George Forbush
2%
Rick Shepherd
2%
Andrea Lowe
2%
Jennifer Billat
2%
Fred Simon
2%
Bill Conrad
2%
Jesse Watts
2%
Bruce Grego
2%
Tom Doyle
1%
Jerry Olsen
1%
Doug Miller
1%
James Settelmeyer 36%
David Flippo 32%
Mike Smith 5%
Sherman Tylawsky 2.0%
James Settelmeyer
36%
David Flippo
32%
Mike Smith
5%
Sherman Tylawsky
2%
George Forbush
2%
Rick Shepherd
2%
Andrea Lowe
2%
Jennifer Billat
2%
Fred Simon
2%
Bill Conrad
2%
Jesse Watts
2%
Bruce Grego
2%
Tom Doyle
1%
Jerry Olsen
1%
Doug Miller
1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: May 25, 2026, 3:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The crowded field of 13 Republicans vying for the open Nevada 2nd Congressional District seat following longtime Rep. Mark Amodei's retirement has kept the June 9 primary competitive, with no candidate securing a dominant edge through endorsements, fundraising, or name recognition. Former state Sen. James Settelmeyer, along with Sherman Tylawsky, George Forbush, and David Flippo, lead trader consensus in a fragmented contest where vote-splitting remains likely. Limited public polling and recent candidate interviews show comparable profiles across the top contenders, while lower-probability options reflect minimal early momentum. Further separation could emerge from final fundraising disclosures, party endorsements, or debates in the coming weeks before primary ballots are cast.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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