Market icon

Ничто никогда не случается: февраль

Market icon

Ничто никогда не случается: февраль

Feb 28

Dec 31

Feb 28

Dec 31

Ничего

94% chance
Polymarket

$66,445 Объем

Ничего

94% chance
Polymarket

$66,445 Объем

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- United States wins most Medals at 2026 Winter Olympics
- Starmer out
- Insurrection Act invoked
- March Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" flips "Pause"
- US strikes Iran
- Israel strikes Iran
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran
- US-Iran nuclear deal
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Bitcoin hits ↓ 40,000

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_February.pdf
Объем
$66,445
Дата окончания
Feb 28, 2026
Дата создания
Feb 9, 2026, 2:59 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - United States wins most Medals at 2026 Winter Olympics - Starmer out - Insurrection Act invoked - March Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" flips "Pause" - US strikes Iran - Israel strikes Iran - Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran - US-Iran nuclear deal - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - Bitcoin hits ↓ 40,000 Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_February.pdf

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- United States wins most Medals at 2026 Winter Olympics
- Starmer out
- Insurrection Act invoked
- March Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" flips "Pause"
- US strikes Iran
- Israel strikes Iran
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran
- US-Iran nuclear deal
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Bitcoin hits ↓ 40,000

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_February.pdf
Объем
$66,445
Дата окончания
Feb 28, 2026
Дата создания
Feb 9, 2026, 2:59 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - United States wins most Medals at 2026 Winter Olympics - Starmer out - Insurrection Act invoked - March Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" flips "Pause" - US strikes Iran - Israel strikes Iran - Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran - US-Iran nuclear deal - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - Bitcoin hits ↓ 40,000 Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_February.pdf

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Ничто никогда не случается: февраль" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ничего никогда не происходит: февраль" at 94%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Ничто никогда не случается: февраль" has generated $66.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Ничто никогда не случается: февраль," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Ничто никогда не случается: февраль" is "Ничего никогда не происходит: февраль" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Ничто никогда не случается: февраль" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.