In New Jersey's 12th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 4, traders price urologist Brad Cohen as a narrow frontrunner at 34.5% implied probability, just ahead of Assemblywoman Verlina Reynolds-Jackson at 32.5% and State Sen. Susan Altman at 23%, reflecting a fragmented field in the open seat left by retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman. A mid-May Emerson College poll mirrored this closeness (Cohen 22%, Reynolds-Jackson 20%, Altman 17%), fueled by Cohen's fundraising edge ($1.2 million raised) and endorsements from Sens. Schumer and Booker, offset by Reynolds-Jackson's progressive legislative record and Altman's recent EMILYs List backing plus state Democratic support. With over 30% undecided voters and limited name recognition, final ad blitzes, turnout in urban areas, or last-minute endorsements could create separation among these closely matched contenders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель демократической праймериз NJ-12
Победитель демократической праймериз NJ-12
Брэд Коэн 35%
Верлина Рейнольдс-Джексон 25%
Сьюзан Альтман 16%
Адам Хамауи 7%
$23,438 Объем
$23,438 Объем
Брэд Коэн
35%
Верлина Рейнольдс-Джексон
32%
Сьюзан Альтман
23%
Адам Хамауи
7%
Мэтью Адамс
5%
Адриан Мэпп
4%
Элайджа Диксон
4%
Майкл Андерсон
2%
Кайл Литтл
2%
Рэймонд Хек
2%
Теннил Р. Маккой
1%
Брэд Коэн 35%
Верлина Рейнольдс-Джексон 25%
Сьюзан Альтман 16%
Адам Хамауи 7%
$23,438 Объем
$23,438 Объем
Брэд Коэн
35%
Верлина Рейнольдс-Джексон
32%
Сьюзан Альтман
23%
Адам Хамауи
7%
Мэтью Адамс
5%
Адриан Мэпп
4%
Элайджа Диксон
4%
Майкл Андерсон
2%
Кайл Литтл
2%
Рэймонд Хек
2%
Теннил Р. Маккой
1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In New Jersey's 12th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 4, traders price urologist Brad Cohen as a narrow frontrunner at 34.5% implied probability, just ahead of Assemblywoman Verlina Reynolds-Jackson at 32.5% and State Sen. Susan Altman at 23%, reflecting a fragmented field in the open seat left by retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman. A mid-May Emerson College poll mirrored this closeness (Cohen 22%, Reynolds-Jackson 20%, Altman 17%), fueled by Cohen's fundraising edge ($1.2 million raised) and endorsements from Sens. Schumer and Booker, offset by Reynolds-Jackson's progressive legislative record and Altman's recent EMILYs List backing plus state Democratic support. With over 30% undecided voters and limited name recognition, final ad blitzes, turnout in urban areas, or last-minute endorsements could create separation among these closely matched contenders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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