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Политика·Глобальные выборы

Next UK leader of the Conservatives?

Market icon
Политика·Глобальные выборы

Next UK leader of the Conservatives?

Kemi Badenoch 100.0%

Other <1%

Suella Braverman <1%

James Cleverly <1%

Polymarket

$8,661,395 Объем

Kemi Badenoch 100.0%

Other <1%

Suella Braverman <1%

James Cleverly <1%

Polymarket

$8,661,395 Объем

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Other

$375,481 Объем

No

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Kemi Badenoch

$179,618 Объем

Yes

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Suella Braverman

$2,393,243 Объем

No

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James Cleverly

$261,949 Объем

No

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Robert Jenrick

$104,560 Объем

No

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Jeremy Hunt

$1,691,520 Объем

No

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Priti Patel

$498,975 Объем

No

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Tom Tugendhat

$598,984 Объем

No

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David Cameron

$569,014 Объем

No

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Nigel Farage

$1,988,051 Объем

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first leader of The Conservative Party in the UK following Rishi Sunak is someone other than Kemi Badenoch, Priti Patel, Suella Braverman, Robert Jenrick, Tom Tugendhat, James Cleverly, Jeremy Hunt, David Cameron, or Nigel Farage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent Conservative Party leader after Rishi Sunak. The primary resolution source will be official government sources; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If the next leader of the Tories after Rishi Sunak is not known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Any interim or acting leader of the party will not count toward the resolution of this market.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first leader of The Conservative Party in the UK following Rishi Sunak is Kemi Badenoch. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent Conservative Party leader after Rishi Sunak. The primary resolution source will be official government sources; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If the next leader of the Tories after Rishi Sunak is not known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Any interim or acting leader of the party will not count toward the resolution of this market.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first leader of The Conservative Party in the UK following Rishi Sunak is Suella Braverman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent Conservative Party leader after Rishi Sunak. The primary resolution source will be official government sources; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If the next leader of the Tories after Rishi Sunak is not known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Any interim or acting leader of the party will not count toward the resolution of this market.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first leader of The Conservative Party in the UK following Rishi Sunak is James Cleverly. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent Conservative Party leader after Rishi Sunak. The primary resolution source will be official government sources; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If the next leader of the Tories after Rishi Sunak is not known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Any interim or acting leader of the party will not count toward the resolution of this market.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first leader of The Conservative Party in the UK following Rishi Sunak is Robert Jenrick. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent Conservative Party leader after Rishi Sunak. The primary resolution source will be official government sources; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If the next leader of the Tories after Rishi Sunak is not known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Any interim or acting leader of the party will not count toward the resolution of this market.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first leader of The Conservative Party in the UK following Rishi Sunak is Jeremy Hunt. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent Conservative Party leader after Rishi Sunak. The primary resolution source will be official government sources; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If the next leader of the Tories after Rishi Sunak is not known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Any interim or acting leader of the party will not count toward the resolution of this market.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first leader of The Conservative Party in the UK following Rishi Sunak is Priti Patel. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent Conservative Party leader after Rishi Sunak. The primary resolution source will be official government sources; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If the next leader of the Tories after Rishi Sunak is not known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Any interim or acting leader of the party will not count toward the resolution of this market.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first leader of The Conservative Party in the UK following Rishi Sunak is Tom Tugendhat. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent Conservative Party leader after Rishi Sunak. The primary resolution source will be official government sources; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If the next leader of the Tories after Rishi Sunak is not known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Any interim or acting leader of the party will not count toward the resolution of this market.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first leader of The Conservative Party in the UK following Rishi Sunak is David Cameron. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent Conservative Party leader after Rishi Sunak. The primary resolution source will be official government sources; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If the next leader of the Tories after Rishi Sunak is not known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Any interim or acting leader of the party will not count toward the resolution of this market.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first leader of The Conservative Party in the UK following Rishi Sunak is Nigel Farage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent Conservative Party leader after Rishi Sunak. The primary resolution source will be official government sources; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If the next leader of the Tories after Rishi Sunak is not known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Any interim or acting leader of the party will not count toward the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first leader of The Conservative Party in the UK following Rishi Sunak is Kemi Badenoch. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent Conservative Party leader after Rishi Sunak. The primary resolution source will be official government sources; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice.

If the next leader of the Tories after Rishi Sunak is not known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Any interim or acting leader of the party will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Объем
$8,661,395
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2024 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 5, 2024, 4:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first leader of The Conservative Party in the UK following Rishi Sunak is Kemi Badenoch. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent Conservative Party leader after Rishi Sunak. The primary resolution source will be official government sources; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If the next leader of the Tories after Rishi Sunak is not known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Any interim or acting leader of the party will not count toward the resolution of this market.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first leader of The Conservative Party in the UK following Rishi Sunak is someone other than Kemi Badenoch, Priti Patel, Suella Braverman, Robert Jenrick, Tom Tugendhat, James Cleverly, Jeremy Hunt, David Cameron, or Nigel Farage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent Conservative Party leader after Rishi Sunak. The primary resolution source will be official government sources; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If the next leader of the Tories after Rishi Sunak is not known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Any interim or acting leader of the party will not count toward the resolution of this market.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first leader of The Conservative Party in the UK following Rishi Sunak is Kemi Badenoch. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent Conservative Party leader after Rishi Sunak. The primary resolution source will be official government sources; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If the next leader of the Tories after Rishi Sunak is not known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Any interim or acting leader of the party will not count toward the resolution of this market.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first leader of The Conservative Party in the UK following Rishi Sunak is Suella Braverman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent Conservative Party leader after Rishi Sunak. The primary resolution source will be official government sources; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If the next leader of the Tories after Rishi Sunak is not known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Any interim or acting leader of the party will not count toward the resolution of this market.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first leader of The Conservative Party in the UK following Rishi Sunak is James Cleverly. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent Conservative Party leader after Rishi Sunak. The primary resolution source will be official government sources; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If the next leader of the Tories after Rishi Sunak is not known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Any interim or acting leader of the party will not count toward the resolution of this market.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first leader of The Conservative Party in the UK following Rishi Sunak is Robert Jenrick. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent Conservative Party leader after Rishi Sunak. The primary resolution source will be official government sources; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If the next leader of the Tories after Rishi Sunak is not known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Any interim or acting leader of the party will not count toward the resolution of this market.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first leader of The Conservative Party in the UK following Rishi Sunak is Jeremy Hunt. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent Conservative Party leader after Rishi Sunak. The primary resolution source will be official government sources; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If the next leader of the Tories after Rishi Sunak is not known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Any interim or acting leader of the party will not count toward the resolution of this market.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first leader of The Conservative Party in the UK following Rishi Sunak is Priti Patel. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent Conservative Party leader after Rishi Sunak. The primary resolution source will be official government sources; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If the next leader of the Tories after Rishi Sunak is not known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Any interim or acting leader of the party will not count toward the resolution of this market.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first leader of The Conservative Party in the UK following Rishi Sunak is Tom Tugendhat. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent Conservative Party leader after Rishi Sunak. The primary resolution source will be official government sources; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If the next leader of the Tories after Rishi Sunak is not known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Any interim or acting leader of the party will not count toward the resolution of this market.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first leader of The Conservative Party in the UK following Rishi Sunak is David Cameron. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent Conservative Party leader after Rishi Sunak. The primary resolution source will be official government sources; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If the next leader of the Tories after Rishi Sunak is not known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Any interim or acting leader of the party will not count toward the resolution of this market.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first leader of The Conservative Party in the UK following Rishi Sunak is Nigel Farage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent Conservative Party leader after Rishi Sunak. The primary resolution source will be official government sources; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If the next leader of the Tories after Rishi Sunak is not known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Any interim or acting leader of the party will not count toward the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first leader of The Conservative Party in the UK following Rishi Sunak is Kemi Badenoch. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent Conservative Party leader after Rishi Sunak. The primary resolution source will be official government sources; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice.

If the next leader of the Tories after Rishi Sunak is not known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Any interim or acting leader of the party will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Объем
$8,661,395
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2024 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 5, 2024, 4:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first leader of The Conservative Party in the UK following Rishi Sunak is Kemi Badenoch. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent Conservative Party leader after Rishi Sunak. The primary resolution source will be official government sources; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If the next leader of the Tories after Rishi Sunak is not known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Any interim or acting leader of the party will not count toward the resolution of this market.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Next UK leader of the Conservatives?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 10 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Kemi Badenoch» с 100%, за ним следует «Other» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Next UK leader of the Conservatives?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $8.7 million с момента запуска рынка Jul 5, 2024. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Next UK leader of the Conservatives?», просмотри 10 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Next UK leader of the Conservatives?» — «Kemi Badenoch» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Other» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

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