Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 91.5% implied probability for a Trump pardon of Tiger Woods by June 30, as Woods' March 27 DUI arrest after a rollover crash in Florida involves state charges ineligible for federal clemency. Multiple fact-checks debunked viral hoaxes claiming Trump urged Gov. DeSantis to intervene or posted supportive calls on Truth Social. Woods, sidelined by the incident amid chronic leg injuries and a recent TGL Finals return with girlfriend Vanessa Trump, pleaded not guilty on April 1 and withdrew from the 2026 Masters, facing up to a year in jail if convicted—further clouding his PGA Tour future without any White House signals despite historical Trump-Woods rapport. Scenarios like escalated federal involvement remain remote, anchoring the lopsided pricing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоIf it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Apr 2, 2026, 10:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 91.5% implied probability for a Trump pardon of Tiger Woods by June 30, as Woods' March 27 DUI arrest after a rollover crash in Florida involves state charges ineligible for federal clemency. Multiple fact-checks debunked viral hoaxes claiming Trump urged Gov. DeSantis to intervene or posted supportive calls on Truth Social. Woods, sidelined by the incident amid chronic leg injuries and a recent TGL Finals return with girlfriend Vanessa Trump, pleaded not guilty on April 1 and withdrew from the 2026 Masters, facing up to a year in jail if convicted—further clouding his PGA Tour future without any White House signals despite historical Trump-Woods rapport. Scenarios like escalated federal involvement remain remote, anchoring the lopsided pricing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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