Следующая страна: удары США
Следующая страна: удары США
Somalia 100.0%
Yemen <1%
Куба <1%
Nigeria <1%
$2,494,874 Объем
$2,494,874 Объем
Dec 31, 2026
Yemen
No
Куба
Нет
Somalia
Yes
Nigeria
No
Mexico
No
Venezuela
No
Colombia
No
Iraq
No
Iran
No
Syria
No
Other
No
None before 2027
No
Somalia 100.0%
Yemen <1%
Куба <1%
Nigeria <1%
$2,494,874 Объем
$2,494,874 Объем
Dec 31, 2026
Yemen
$122,379 Объем
No
Куба
$116,200 Объем
Нет
Somalia
$836,914 Объем
Yes
Nigeria
$91,409 Объем
No
Mexico
$109,668 Объем
No
Venezuela
$88,361 Объем
No
Colombia
$141,872 Объем
No
Iraq
$98,516 Объем
No
Iran
$308,546 Объем
No
Syria
$130,067 Объем
No
Other
$120,925 Объем
No
None before 2027
$330,017 Объем
No
This market will resolve according to the first country against which the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on the soil or any official embassy or consulate after the time of this market's creation.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the listed country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
If the U.S. does not strike another country by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "None before 2027". If the U.S. strikes a country which is not listed next, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the first country against which the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on the soil or any official embassy or consulate after the time of this market's creation.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the listed country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
If the U.S. does not strike another country by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "None before 2027". If the U.S. strikes a country which is not listed next, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the listed country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
If the U.S. does not strike another country by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "None before 2027". If the U.S. strikes a country which is not listed next, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jan 13, 2026, 6:56 PM ET
Объем
$2,494,874Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 13, 2026, 6:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No

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Frequently Asked Questions