Venezuelan crude oil production surged to 1.1 million barrels per day (bpd) in March 2026, up from 942,000 bpd in February, driven by Chevron and Shell advancing major field developments in the Orinoco Belt amid U.S. sanctions relief and license extensions. This trader consensus reflects easing political tensions post-January events and renewed foreign investment, with U.S. Energy Information Administration estimates signaling 30-40% annual growth potential to 1.3-1.4 million bpd, though diluent shortages and infrastructure decay cap near-term upside. OPEC+ quotas remain supportive at around 900,000 bpd baseline, while Brent crude near $100 per barrel incentivizes exports. Key catalysts ahead include April OPEC+ monitoring reports, Q2 EIA data, and new PDVSA joint ventures.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$80,825 Объем
28 фев. 2027 г.
1 млн
85%
1,1 млн
71%
1,2 млн
48%
1,3 млн
32%
1,4 млн
14%
1,5 млн
11%
1,7 млн
22%
2 млн
5%
$80,825 Объем
1 млн
$23,879 Объем
85%
1,1 млн
$12,691 Объем
71%
1,2 млн
$0 Объем
48%
1,3 млн
$5,668 Объем
32%
1,4 млн
$16,009 Объем
14%
1,5 млн
$7,131 Объем
11%
1,7 млн
$3,319 Объем
22%
2 млн
$12,128 Объем
5%
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Venezuelan crude oil production surged to 1.1 million barrels per day (bpd) in March 2026, up from 942,000 bpd in February, driven by Chevron and Shell advancing major field developments in the Orinoco Belt amid U.S. sanctions relief and license extensions. This trader consensus reflects easing political tensions post-January events and renewed foreign investment, with U.S. Energy Information Administration estimates signaling 30-40% annual growth potential to 1.3-1.4 million bpd, though diluent shortages and infrastructure decay cap near-term upside. OPEC+ quotas remain supportive at around 900,000 bpd baseline, while Brent crude near $100 per barrel incentivizes exports. Key catalysts ahead include April OPEC+ monitoring reports, Q2 EIA data, and new PDVSA joint ventures.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Открытие рынка: Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ET
Объем
$80,825Дата окончания
28 фев. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Venezuelan crude oil production surged to 1.1 million barrels per day (bpd) in March 2026, up from 942,000 bpd in February, driven by Chevron and Shell advancing major field developments in the Orinoco Belt amid U.S. sanctions relief and license extensions. This trader consensus reflects easing political tensions post-January events and renewed foreign investment, with U.S. Energy Information Administration estimates signaling 30-40% annual growth potential to 1.3-1.4 million bpd, though diluent shortages and infrastructure decay cap near-term upside. OPEC+ quotas remain supportive at around 900,000 bpd baseline, while Brent crude near $100 per barrel incentivizes exports. Key catalysts ahead include April OPEC+ monitoring reports, Q2 EIA data, and new PDVSA joint ventures.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Объем
$80,825Дата окончания
28 фев. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Venezuelan crude oil production surged to 1.1 million barrels per day (bpd) in March 2026, up from 942,000 bpd in February, driven by Chevron and Shell advancing major field developments in the Orinoco Belt amid U.S. sanctions relief and license extensions. This trader consensus reflects easing political tensions post-January events and renewed foreign investment, with U.S. Energy Information Administration estimates signaling 30-40% annual growth potential to 1.3-1.4 million bpd, though diluent shortages and infrastructure decay cap near-term upside. OPEC+ quotas remain supportive at around 900,000 bpd baseline, while Brent crude near $100 per barrel incentivizes exports. Key catalysts ahead include April OPEC+ monitoring reports, Q2 EIA data, and new PDVSA joint ventures.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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