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Будут ли США вторгаться в Венесуэлу...?

Market icon

Будут ли США вторгаться в Венесуэлу...?

$14,103,528 Объем

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$14,103,528 Объем

Polymarket

31 марта

$2,813,680 Объем

<1%

31 декабря

$156,965 Объем

14%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025, and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.U.S. foreign policy toward Venezuela centers on diplomatic isolation and targeted sanctions against Nicolás Maduro's regime following the disputed July 2024 presidential election, where the opposition claimed victory and Washington recognized Edmundo González as the legitimate winner. Recent State Department actions include new sanctions on Maduro allies and calls for a democratic transition, but no military mobilizations, troop deployments, or invasion rhetoric from the Biden administration or Congress. Heightened border tensions with Guyana over the Essequibo region persist, with U.S. backing for Guyana's Exxon-led oil developments via diplomatic support rather than military intervention. High barriers to invasion—such as stretched U.S. commitments in Ukraine and the Middle East, domestic political divisions, and international law—dominate trader consensus, with no scheduled events like summits or votes signaling escalation before year-end.

U.S. foreign policy toward Venezuela centers on diplomatic isolation and targeted sanctions against Nicolás Maduro's regime following the disputed July 2024 presidential election, where the opposition claimed victory and Washington recognized Edmundo González as the legitimate winner. Recent State Department actions include new sanctions on Maduro allies and calls for a democratic transition, but no military mobilizations, troop deployments, or invasion rhetoric from the Biden administration or Congress. Heightened border tensions with Guyana over the Essequibo region persist, with U.S. backing for Guyana's Exxon-led oil developments via diplomatic support rather than military intervention. High barriers to invasion—such as stretched U.S. commitments in Ukraine and the Middle East, domestic political divisions, and international law—dominate trader consensus, with no scheduled events like summits or votes signaling escalation before year-end.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025, and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.U.S. foreign policy toward Venezuela centers on diplomatic isolation and targeted sanctions against Nicolás Maduro's regime following the disputed July 2024 presidential election, where the opposition claimed victory and Washington recognized Edmundo González as the legitimate winner. Recent State Department actions include new sanctions on Maduro allies and calls for a democratic transition, but no military mobilizations, troop deployments, or invasion rhetoric from the Biden administration or Congress. Heightened border tensions with Guyana over the Essequibo region persist, with U.S. backing for Guyana's Exxon-led oil developments via diplomatic support rather than military intervention. High barriers to invasion—such as stretched U.S. commitments in Ukraine and the Middle East, domestic political divisions, and international law—dominate trader consensus, with no scheduled events like summits or votes signaling escalation before year-end.

U.S. foreign policy toward Venezuela centers on diplomatic isolation and targeted sanctions against Nicolás Maduro's regime following the disputed July 2024 presidential election, where the opposition claimed victory and Washington recognized Edmundo González as the legitimate winner. Recent State Department actions include new sanctions on Maduro allies and calls for a democratic transition, but no military mobilizations, troop deployments, or invasion rhetoric from the Biden administration or Congress. Heightened border tensions with Guyana over the Essequibo region persist, with U.S. backing for Guyana's Exxon-led oil developments via diplomatic support rather than military intervention. High barriers to invasion—such as stretched U.S. commitments in Ukraine and the Middle East, domestic political divisions, and international law—dominate trader consensus, with no scheduled events like summits or votes signaling escalation before year-end.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Будут ли США вторгаться в Венесуэлу...?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 4 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «31 декабря» с 14%, за ним следует «31 марта» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 14¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 14%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Будут ли США вторгаться в Венесуэлу...?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $14.1 million с момента запуска рынка Sep 6, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Будут ли США вторгаться в Венесуэлу...?», просмотри 4 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Будут ли США вторгаться в Венесуэлу...?» — «31 декабря» с 14%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 14%. Следующий ближайший исход — «31 марта» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Будут ли США вторгаться в Венесуэлу...?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.