Trump's approval rating, currently hovering around 52% in early post-inauguration polls, reflects a standard presidential honeymoon period fueled by his decisive 2024 election win and initial executive actions on border security and energy deregulation. Trader sentiment weighs historical patterns where incoming presidents often peak above 60% before midterm pressures, driven by economic indicators like GDP growth and inflation trends. Recent catalysts include swift Senate confirmations of loyalist cabinet picks and market rallies on tariff proposals, though fiscal deficit concerns linger. Key upcoming events—Q1 economic data releases, the March State of the Union, and 2026 midterm positioning—stand to amplify or erode these gains amid global trade frictions and domestic policy tests.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоНасколько высок рейтинг одобрения Трампа в 2026 году?
Насколько высок рейтинг одобрения Трампа в 2026 году?
↑ 44%
22%
↑ 45%
11%
↑ 46%
10%
↑ 47%
5%
↑ 48%
5%
↑ 49%
4%
↑ 50%
2%
$383 Объем
↑ 44%
22%
↑ 45%
11%
↑ 46%
10%
↑ 47%
5%
↑ 48%
5%
↑ 49%
4%
↑ 50%
2%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Открытие рынка: Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's approval rating, currently hovering around 52% in early post-inauguration polls, reflects a standard presidential honeymoon period fueled by his decisive 2024 election win and initial executive actions on border security and energy deregulation. Trader sentiment weighs historical patterns where incoming presidents often peak above 60% before midterm pressures, driven by economic indicators like GDP growth and inflation trends. Recent catalysts include swift Senate confirmations of loyalist cabinet picks and market rallies on tariff proposals, though fiscal deficit concerns linger. Key upcoming events—Q1 economic data releases, the March State of the Union, and 2026 midterm positioning—stand to amplify or erode these gains amid global trade frictions and domestic policy tests.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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