Trader consensus on Netanyahu's potential ouster hinges on his fragile coalition's survival amid a Supreme Court mandate ending ultra-Orthodox military draft exemptions, prompting far-right partners to threaten withdrawal absent new legislation by June 2025. Recent Knesset no-confidence motions against Netanyahu failed narrowly in October 2024, buoyed by opposition disunity, but polls consistently show center-left blocs like National Unity leading by double digits. Gaza war stalemates, hostage negotiations, and Hezbollah escalations erode public support, while his ongoing corruption trial looms. Key catalysts ahead include December budget votes and draft bill deadlines, any collapse risking snap elections by mid-2025.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоНетаньяху вышел...?
Нетаньяху вышел...?
$57,762,718 Объем
31 марта
1%
30 апреля
4%
30 июня
12%
31 декабря
48%
$57,762,718 Объем
31 марта
1%
30 апреля
4%
30 июня
12%
31 декабря
48%
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...Trader consensus on Netanyahu's potential ouster hinges on his fragile coalition's survival amid a Supreme Court mandate ending ultra-Orthodox military draft exemptions, prompting far-right partners to threaten withdrawal absent new legislation by June 2025. Recent Knesset no-confidence motions against Netanyahu failed narrowly in October 2024, buoyed by opposition disunity, but polls consistently show center-left blocs like National Unity leading by double digits. Gaza war stalemates, hostage negotiations, and Hezbollah escalations erode public support, while his ongoing corruption trial looms. Key catalysts ahead include December budget votes and draft bill deadlines, any collapse risking snap elections by mid-2025.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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