Russian forces continue probing assaults in the Kupiansk direction southeast of Kupiansk but have made no confirmed advances into Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi, a key rail junction settlement that remains fully under Ukrainian Defense Forces control. Institute for the Study of War assessments through April 16, 2026, report ongoing Russian offensive operations near Kurylivka and along rail lines without territorial gains, following repeated failed infiltration attempts and refuted claims of capture earlier this year. Ukrainian counteractions, including drone strikes and repelled sabotage groups, have held the line amid intensified combat since late March. Traders should monitor geolocated footage for breakthroughs, as spring conditions may enable mechanized pushes, though current stalemate reflects Ukrainian fortifications along the Oskil River corridor.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWill Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by...?
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by...?
НОВОЕ
30 апр. 2026 г.
April 30
5%
May 31
47%
$351 Объем
April 30
$330 Объем
5%
May 31
$21 Объем
47%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi, Kharkiv Oblast, (49.657786° N, 37.645515° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces continue probing assaults in the Kupiansk direction southeast of Kupiansk but have made no confirmed advances into Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi, a key rail junction settlement that remains fully under Ukrainian Defense Forces control. Institute for the Study of War assessments through April 16, 2026, report ongoing Russian offensive operations near Kurylivka and along rail lines without territorial gains, following repeated failed infiltration attempts and refuted claims of capture earlier this year. Ukrainian counteractions, including drone strikes and repelled sabotage groups, have held the line amid intensified combat since late March. Traders should monitor geolocated footage for breakthroughs, as spring conditions may enable mechanized pushes, though current stalemate reflects Ukrainian fortifications along the Oskil River corridor.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi, Kharkiv Oblast, (49.657786° N, 37.645515° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Apr 13, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
Объем
$351Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi, Kharkiv Oblast, (49.657786° N, 37.645515° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces continue probing assaults in the Kupiansk direction southeast of Kupiansk but have made no confirmed advances into Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi, a key rail junction settlement that remains fully under Ukrainian Defense Forces control. Institute for the Study of War assessments through April 16, 2026, report ongoing Russian offensive operations near Kurylivka and along rail lines without territorial gains, following repeated failed infiltration attempts and refuted claims of capture earlier this year. Ukrainian counteractions, including drone strikes and repelled sabotage groups, have held the line amid intensified combat since late March. Traders should monitor geolocated footage for breakthroughs, as spring conditions may enable mechanized pushes, though current stalemate reflects Ukrainian fortifications along the Oskil River corridor.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi, Kharkiv Oblast, (49.657786° N, 37.645515° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Объем
$351Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces continue probing assaults in the Kupiansk direction southeast of Kupiansk but have made no confirmed advances into Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi, a key rail junction settlement that remains fully under Ukrainian Defense Forces control. Institute for the Study of War assessments through April 16, 2026, report ongoing Russian offensive operations near Kurylivka and along rail lines without territorial gains, following repeated failed infiltration attempts and refuted claims of capture earlier this year. Ukrainian counteractions, including drone strikes and repelled sabotage groups, have held the line amid intensified combat since late March. Traders should monitor geolocated footage for breakthroughs, as spring conditions may enable mechanized pushes, though current stalemate reflects Ukrainian fortifications along the Oskil River corridor.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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