Minnesota's gubernatorial election market reflects trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic nominee at 91.5%, driven by the state's left-leaning electorate and historical Democratic dominance in statewide races—Democrats have won four of the last five governor contests. Incumbent Gov. Tim Walz's 2022 victory margin of 7 points, despite his national VP run, underscores DFL strength, with early 2026 polling showing Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and AG Keith Ellison as frontrunners leading potential Republicans like Scott Jensen by 10-20 points. Trader sentiment factors in upcoming DFL primary on August 11, 2026, expected to unify behind a strong candidate. Realistic challenges include a consolidated GOP nominee amid national Republican momentum, economic shifts hurting incumbents, or a Walz vacancy triggering unpopular appointee dynamics, though base rates favor Democrats holding the seat.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Миннесоты
Победитель выборов губернатора Миннесоты
$21,586 Объем
$21,586 Объем

Демократ
92%

Республиканец
9%
$21,586 Объем
$21,586 Объем

Демократ
92%

Республиканец
9%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's gubernatorial election market reflects trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic nominee at 91.5%, driven by the state's left-leaning electorate and historical Democratic dominance in statewide races—Democrats have won four of the last five governor contests. Incumbent Gov. Tim Walz's 2022 victory margin of 7 points, despite his national VP run, underscores DFL strength, with early 2026 polling showing Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and AG Keith Ellison as frontrunners leading potential Republicans like Scott Jensen by 10-20 points. Trader sentiment factors in upcoming DFL primary on August 11, 2026, expected to unify behind a strong candidate. Realistic challenges include a consolidated GOP nominee amid national Republican momentum, economic shifts hurting incumbents, or a Walz vacancy triggering unpopular appointee dynamics, though base rates favor Democrats holding the seat.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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