US and Israeli forces continue airstrikes targeting Iran's ballistic missile production facilities, air defenses, and nuclear sites, with US Central Command releasing video of recent operations and reports of explosions over Isfahan as of March 31. The conflict, launched February 28 with nearly 900 initial strikes, aims to degrade Tehran's military projection and nuclear program amid Iran's retaliatory proxy attacks and missile barrages. Diplomatic efforts falter as Iran rejected a US 15-point proposal to end hostilities, calling it unreasonable, while officials like Senator Rubio signal operations may conclude in weeks without ground troops. Traders weigh ongoing degradation against escalation risks, proxy responses, and potential ceasefire talks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоMilitary action against Iran ends by...?
Military action against Iran ends by...?
$39,696 Объем
30 апр. 2026 г.
April 1
1%
April 2
2%
April 3
4%
April 4
14%
April 5
39%
April 6
34%
April 7
41%
April 8
42%
April 9
20%
April 10
42%
April 11
42%
April 12
41%
April 13
42%
April 14
25%
April 15
54%
April 16
39%
April 17
44%
April 18
44%
April 19
44%
April 20
44%
April 21
44%
April 22
44%
April 23
44%
April 24
45%
April 25
27%
April 26
44%
April 27
44%
April 28
44%
April 29
44%
April 30
45%
$39,696 Объем
April 1
$4,242 Объем
1%
April 2
$3,914 Объем
2%
April 3
$2,346 Объем
4%
April 4
$39 Объем
14%
April 5
$0 Объем
39%
April 6
$6 Объем
34%
April 7
$0 Объем
41%
April 8
$1 Объем
42%
April 9
$2,785 Объем
20%
April 10
$0 Объем
42%
April 11
$0 Объем
42%
April 12
$0 Объем
41%
April 13
$0 Объем
42%
April 14
$4,350 Объем
25%
April 15
$7 Объем
54%
April 16
$0 Объем
39%
April 17
$0 Объем
44%
April 18
$0 Объем
44%
April 19
$0 Объем
44%
April 20
$0 Объем
44%
April 21
$0 Объем
44%
April 22
$0 Объем
44%
April 23
$0 Объем
44%
April 24
$0 Объем
45%
April 25
$2,745 Объем
27%
April 26
$0 Объем
44%
April 27
$38 Объем
44%
April 28
$0 Объем
44%
April 29
$0 Объем
44%
April 30
$19,223 Объем
45%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israeli forces continue airstrikes targeting Iran's ballistic missile production facilities, air defenses, and nuclear sites, with US Central Command releasing video of recent operations and reports of explosions over Isfahan as of March 31. The conflict, launched February 28 with nearly 900 initial strikes, aims to degrade Tehran's military projection and nuclear program amid Iran's retaliatory proxy attacks and missile barrages. Diplomatic efforts falter as Iran rejected a US 15-point proposal to end hostilities, calling it unreasonable, while officials like Senator Rubio signal operations may conclude in weeks without ground troops. Traders weigh ongoing degradation against escalation risks, proxy responses, and potential ceasefire talks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Mar 27, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Объем
$39,696Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 27, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israeli forces continue airstrikes targeting Iran's ballistic missile production facilities, air defenses, and nuclear sites, with US Central Command releasing video of recent operations and reports of explosions over Isfahan as of March 31. The conflict, launched February 28 with nearly 900 initial strikes, aims to degrade Tehran's military projection and nuclear program amid Iran's retaliatory proxy attacks and missile barrages. Diplomatic efforts falter as Iran rejected a US 15-point proposal to end hostilities, calling it unreasonable, while officials like Senator Rubio signal operations may conclude in weeks without ground troops. Traders weigh ongoing degradation against escalation risks, proxy responses, and potential ceasefire talks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$39,696Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 27, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US and Israeli forces continue airstrikes targeting Iran's ballistic missile production facilities, air defenses, and nuclear sites, with US Central Command releasing video of recent operations and reports of explosions over Isfahan as of March 31. The conflict, launched February 28 with nearly 900 initial strikes, aims to degrade Tehran's military projection and nuclear program amid Iran's retaliatory proxy attacks and missile barrages. Diplomatic efforts falter as Iran rejected a US 15-point proposal to end hostilities, calling it unreasonable, while officials like Senator Rubio signal operations may conclude in weeks without ground troops. Traders weigh ongoing degradation against escalation risks, proxy responses, and potential ceasefire talks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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