President-elect Trump nominated South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem as Secretary of Homeland Security on November 13, 2024, with no public consideration of Sen. Markwayne Mullin (R-OK) for the role, anchoring trader consensus against confirmation. Mullin, recently elected Senate Commerce Committee chair, has focused on domestic policy fights like union oversight but lacks nomination signals amid Trump's rapid cabinet announcements. The confirmation process requires Senate committee hearings—expected to start post-January 3, 2025, when Republicans assume majority control—followed by floor votes needing simple majority, potentially accelerated via unanimous consent. Absent a surprise withdrawal by Noem or shift in Trump's picks, structural barriers keep Mullin's path narrow, though late scandals or health issues could prompt changes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$26,070 Объем
Apr 30, 2026
31 марта
100%
30 апреля
100%
$26,070 Объем
31 марта
$0 Объем
100%
30 апреля
$26,070 Объем
100%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Markwayne Mullin is confirmed as the United States Secretary of Homeland Security by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Markwayne Mullin is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm Markwayne Mullin as Secretary of Homeland Security for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments or assumption of the position in an acting capacity without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President-elect Trump nominated South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem as Secretary of Homeland Security on November 13, 2024, with no public consideration of Sen. Markwayne Mullin (R-OK) for the role, anchoring trader consensus against confirmation. Mullin, recently elected Senate Commerce Committee chair, has focused on domestic policy fights like union oversight but lacks nomination signals amid Trump's rapid cabinet announcements. The confirmation process requires Senate committee hearings—expected to start post-January 3, 2025, when Republicans assume majority control—followed by floor votes needing simple majority, potentially accelerated via unanimous consent. Absent a surprise withdrawal by Noem or shift in Trump's picks, structural barriers keep Mullin's path narrow, though late scandals or health issues could prompt changes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Markwayne Mullin is confirmed as the United States Secretary of Homeland Security by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Markwayne Mullin is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm Markwayne Mullin as Secretary of Homeland Security for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments or assumption of the position in an acting capacity without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Markwayne Mullin is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm Markwayne Mullin as Secretary of Homeland Security for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments or assumption of the position in an acting capacity without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 5, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
Объем
$26,070Дата окончания
Apr 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 5, 2026, 5:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Markwayne Mullin is confirmed as the United States Secretary of Homeland Security by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Markwayne Mullin is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm Markwayne Mullin as Secretary of Homeland Security for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments or assumption of the position in an acting capacity without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President-elect Trump nominated South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem as Secretary of Homeland Security on November 13, 2024, with no public consideration of Sen. Markwayne Mullin (R-OK) for the role, anchoring trader consensus against confirmation. Mullin, recently elected Senate Commerce Committee chair, has focused on domestic policy fights like union oversight but lacks nomination signals amid Trump's rapid cabinet announcements. The confirmation process requires Senate committee hearings—expected to start post-January 3, 2025, when Republicans assume majority control—followed by floor votes needing simple majority, potentially accelerated via unanimous consent. Absent a surprise withdrawal by Noem or shift in Trump's picks, structural barriers keep Mullin's path narrow, though late scandals or health issues could prompt changes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Markwayne Mullin is confirmed as the United States Secretary of Homeland Security by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Markwayne Mullin is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm Markwayne Mullin as Secretary of Homeland Security for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments or assumption of the position in an acting capacity without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Markwayne Mullin is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm Markwayne Mullin as Secretary of Homeland Security for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments or assumption of the position in an acting capacity without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$26,070Дата окончания
Apr 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 5, 2026, 5:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President-elect Trump nominated South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem as Secretary of Homeland Security on November 13, 2024, with no public consideration of Sen. Markwayne Mullin (R-OK) for the role, anchoring trader consensus against confirmation. Mullin, recently elected Senate Commerce Committee chair, has focused on domestic policy fights like union oversight but lacks nomination signals amid Trump's rapid cabinet announcements. The confirmation process requires Senate committee hearings—expected to start post-January 3, 2025, when Republicans assume majority control—followed by floor votes needing simple majority, potentially accelerated via unanimous consent. Absent a surprise withdrawal by Noem or shift in Trump's picks, structural barriers keep Mullin's path narrow, though late scandals or health issues could prompt changes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы