Nicolás Maduro maintains firm control over Venezuela, supported by loyal military and security forces, fueling 100% trader consensus on "No" for exile to Qatar by March 31. After his contested July 2024 reelection and January 10, 2025, inauguration—despite non-recognition by the US, EU, and others—no recent diplomatic signals, negotiations, or regime instability have emerged in the past 30 days to suggest departure. Maduro has prioritized economic ties with allies like Russia, China, and Iran, while suppressing opposition challenges led by exiled figures like María Corina Machado. Absent extraordinary events such as a military coup, sudden health crisis, or international intervention, the deadline approaches with entrenched stability ensuring market resolution to "No."
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДа
$84,031 Объем
$84,031 Объем
Да
$84,031 Объем
$84,031 Объем
Maduro will be considered to be exiled to Qatar if he is expelled from, or voluntarily leaves, Venezuela to live in freedom in Qatar for an extended period.
Announcements of Maduro's exile will not qualify, he must actually move there.
Visits or trips to Qatar will not count.
Imprisonment or detention in Qatar will not count. Freedom of movement is not required for a qualifying exile, as long as Maduro is not being held as a prisoner or detainee.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Dec 5, 2025, 3:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Maduro will be considered to be exiled to Qatar if he is expelled from, or voluntarily leaves, Venezuela to live in freedom in Qatar for an extended period.
Announcements of Maduro's exile will not qualify, he must actually move there.
Visits or trips to Qatar will not count.
Imprisonment or detention in Qatar will not count. Freedom of movement is not required for a qualifying exile, as long as Maduro is not being held as a prisoner or detainee.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro maintains firm control over Venezuela, supported by loyal military and security forces, fueling 100% trader consensus on "No" for exile to Qatar by March 31. After his contested July 2024 reelection and January 10, 2025, inauguration—despite non-recognition by the US, EU, and others—no recent diplomatic signals, negotiations, or regime instability have emerged in the past 30 days to suggest departure. Maduro has prioritized economic ties with allies like Russia, China, and Iran, while suppressing opposition challenges led by exiled figures like María Corina Machado. Absent extraordinary events such as a military coup, sudden health crisis, or international intervention, the deadline approaches with entrenched stability ensuring market resolution to "No."
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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