Trader consensus heavily favors no federal law banning sports prediction markets in 2026 at 89.5%, driven by the early-stage status of recent bipartisan bills like Sens. Schiff and Curtis's measure (introduced March 23) and Reps. Raskin and Merkley's STOP Corrupt Bets Act (March 26), which target sports event contracts on CFTC-regulated platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi. These proposals face steep legislative hurdles in a divided Congress, including committee advancement and floor votes, amid competing priorities like appropriations. The CFTC's February withdrawal of restrictive event contract rules and March guidance affirming jurisdiction over sports contracts signal regulatory permissiveness, reducing enactment urgency despite state-level actions like Massachusetts's January ban. No hearings or whip counts indicate momentum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоЗакон, запрещающий рынки спортивных прогнозов, принятый в 2026 году?
Закон, запрещающий рынки спортивных прогнозов, принятый в 2026 году?
Да
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2026 г.
Да
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no federal law banning sports prediction markets in 2026 at 89.5%, driven by the early-stage status of recent bipartisan bills like Sens. Schiff and Curtis's measure (introduced March 23) and Reps. Raskin and Merkley's STOP Corrupt Bets Act (March 26), which target sports event contracts on CFTC-regulated platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi. These proposals face steep legislative hurdles in a divided Congress, including committee advancement and floor votes, amid competing priorities like appropriations. The CFTC's February withdrawal of restrictive event contract rules and March guidance affirming jurisdiction over sports contracts signal regulatory permissiveness, reducing enactment urgency despite state-level actions like Massachusetts's January ban. No hearings or whip counts indicate momentum.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 27, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
Объем
$9,357Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 27, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no federal law banning sports prediction markets in 2026 at 89.5%, driven by the early-stage status of recent bipartisan bills like Sens. Schiff and Curtis's measure (introduced March 23) and Reps. Raskin and Merkley's STOP Corrupt Bets Act (March 26), which target sports event contracts on CFTC-regulated platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi. These proposals face steep legislative hurdles in a divided Congress, including committee advancement and floor votes, amid competing priorities like appropriations. The CFTC's February withdrawal of restrictive event contract rules and March guidance affirming jurisdiction over sports contracts signal regulatory permissiveness, reducing enactment urgency despite state-level actions like Massachusetts's January ban. No hearings or whip counts indicate momentum.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$9,357Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 27, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors no federal law banning sports prediction markets in 2026 at 89.5%, driven by the early-stage status of recent bipartisan bills like Sens. Schiff and Curtis's measure (introduced March 23) and Reps. Raskin and Merkley's STOP Corrupt Bets Act (March 26), which target sports event contracts on CFTC-regulated platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi. These proposals face steep legislative hurdles in a divided Congress, including committee advancement and floor votes, amid competing priorities like appropriations. The CFTC's February withdrawal of restrictive event contract rules and March guidance affirming jurisdiction over sports contracts signal regulatory permissiveness, reducing enactment urgency despite state-level actions like Massachusetts's January ban. No hearings or whip counts indicate momentum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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