Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors fewer than 20 posts by Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei on his official X account (@khamenei_ir) during March 20–27, 2026, reflecting his historically sparse posting rhythm—typically 1–5 official statements or messages per week, often tied to major speeches, holidays, or policy announcements rather than daily commentary. No developments in the past 30 days, including ongoing Iran-Israel tensions or domestic policy signals, suggest any shift toward heightened social media activity, while Khamenei's age (nearing 87) and periodic health reports reinforce subdued expectations. Scenarios that could challenge this include a sudden escalation in regional conflicts prompting frequent updates, an institutional pivot to more active digital communication, or confirmed health improvements enabling greater public engagement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоKhamenei # posts 20 марта - 27 марта 2026?
Khamenei # posts 20 марта - 27 марта 2026?
<20 100.0%
20-39 <1%
40–59 <1%
60-79 <1%
$36,903 Объем
$36,903 Объем
<20
Да
20-39
Нет
40–59
Нет
60-79
Нет
80-99
Нет
100-119
Нет
120–139
Нет
140-159
Нет
160-179
Нет
180-199
Нет
200+
Нет
<20 100.0%
20-39 <1%
40–59 <1%
60-79 <1%
$36,903 Объем
$36,903 Объем
<20
Да
20-39
Нет
40–59
Нет
60-79
Нет
80-99
Нет
100-119
Нет
120–139
Нет
140-159
Нет
160-179
Нет
180-199
Нет
200+
Нет
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Mar 17, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Источник определения исхода
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors fewer than 20 posts by Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei on his official X account (@khamenei_ir) during March 20–27, 2026, reflecting his historically sparse posting rhythm—typically 1–5 official statements or messages per week, often tied to major speeches, holidays, or policy announcements rather than daily commentary. No developments in the past 30 days, including ongoing Iran-Israel tensions or domestic policy signals, suggest any shift toward heightened social media activity, while Khamenei's age (nearing 87) and periodic health reports reinforce subdued expectations. Scenarios that could challenge this include a sudden escalation in regional conflicts prompting frequent updates, an institutional pivot to more active digital communication, or confirmed health improvements enabling greater public engagement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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