Kentucky's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Sen. Mitch McConnell, remains rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, driving trader consensus to 91% for a GOP victory amid the state's entrenched Republican dominance—no Democrat has won here since 1992. Recent March 17 primary debates for both parties sharpened the competitive GOP field, where Rep. Andy Barr, ex-Atty. Gen. Daniel Cameron, and businessman Nate Morris vie closely per averages showing Cameron slightly ahead, while Democrats feature Charles Booker and Amy McGrath; the May 19 primaries loom as the next catalyst. Sparse general election polling, even Dem-sponsored surveys, shows GOP leads of 1–16 points. Scenarios to upend this include a scandal-plagued GOP nominee or national wave shifting turnout in this reliably red battleground.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат Кентукки
Победитель выборов в Сенат Кентукки
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканец
91%
Демократ
7%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканец
$1,271 Объем
91%
Демократ
$0 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kentucky's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Sen. Mitch McConnell, remains rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, driving trader consensus to 91% for a GOP victory amid the state's entrenched Republican dominance—no Democrat has won here since 1992. Recent March 17 primary debates for both parties sharpened the competitive GOP field, where Rep. Andy Barr, ex-Atty. Gen. Daniel Cameron, and businessman Nate Morris vie closely per averages showing Cameron slightly ahead, while Democrats feature Charles Booker and Amy McGrath; the May 19 primaries loom as the next catalyst. Sparse general election polling, even Dem-sponsored surveys, shows GOP leads of 1–16 points. Scenarios to upend this include a scandal-plagued GOP nominee or national wave shifting turnout in this reliably red battleground.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Объем
$1,271Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kentucky's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Sen. Mitch McConnell, remains rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, driving trader consensus to 91% for a GOP victory amid the state's entrenched Republican dominance—no Democrat has won here since 1992. Recent March 17 primary debates for both parties sharpened the competitive GOP field, where Rep. Andy Barr, ex-Atty. Gen. Daniel Cameron, and businessman Nate Morris vie closely per averages showing Cameron slightly ahead, while Democrats feature Charles Booker and Amy McGrath; the May 19 primaries loom as the next catalyst. Sparse general election polling, even Dem-sponsored surveys, shows GOP leads of 1–16 points. Scenarios to upend this include a scandal-plagued GOP nominee or national wave shifting turnout in this reliably red battleground.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$1,271Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kentucky's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Sen. Mitch McConnell, remains rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, driving trader consensus to 91% for a GOP victory amid the state's entrenched Republican dominance—no Democrat has won here since 1992. Recent March 17 primary debates for both parties sharpened the competitive GOP field, where Rep. Andy Barr, ex-Atty. Gen. Daniel Cameron, and businessman Nate Morris vie closely per averages showing Cameron slightly ahead, while Democrats feature Charles Booker and Amy McGrath; the May 19 primaries loom as the next catalyst. Sparse general election polling, even Dem-sponsored surveys, shows GOP leads of 1–16 points. Scenarios to upend this include a scandal-plagued GOP nominee or national wave shifting turnout in this reliably red battleground.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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