Trader consensus on Kash Patel's FBI Director tenure ending reflects uncertainty over Senate confirmation amid Republican divisions and Democratic opposition to President-elect Trump's November 2024 nominee. GOP's 53-47 majority faces hurdles from moderates like Collins and Murkowski citing Patel's lack of law enforcement experience and past FBI criticisms, though Trump insists on approval. Recent media defenses by Patel and Thune's pledge for swift votes have steadied short-term odds, but hearings expected post-January 20 inauguration could trigger volatility. If confirmed, loyalty to Trump implies extended service barring scandals; rejection resolves markets early.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$45,701 Объем
31 марта
1%
30 июня
11%
$45,701 Объем
31 марта
$34,166 Объем
1%
30 июня
$11,535 Объем
11%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Feb 23, 2026, 1:16 PM ET
Объем
$45,701Открытие рынка
Feb 23, 2026, 1:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$45,701Открытие рынка
Feb 23, 2026, 1:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Kash Patel's FBI Director tenure ending reflects uncertainty over Senate confirmation amid Republican divisions and Democratic opposition to President-elect Trump's November 2024 nominee. GOP's 53-47 majority faces hurdles from moderates like Collins and Murkowski citing Patel's lack of law enforcement experience and past FBI criticisms, though Trump insists on approval. Recent media defenses by Patel and Thune's pledge for swift votes have steadied short-term odds, but hearings expected post-January 20 inauguration could trigger volatility. If confirmed, loyalty to Trump implies extended service barring scandals; rejection resolves markets early.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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