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Will Kamala do better in Georgia or Wisconsin?

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Will Kamala do better in Georgia or Wisconsin?

Wisconsin

99% chance
Polymarket

$40,982 Объем

Wisconsin

99% chance
Polymarket

$40,982 Объем

This market will resolve to "Wisconsin” if Kamala Harris's margin of victory winning the popular vote in Wisconsin is higher than her margin of victory winning the popular vote in Georgia in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.

This market will resolve to "Georgia” if Kamala Harris's margin of victory winning the popular vote in Georgia is higher than her margin of victory winning the popular vote in Georgia in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.

For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Kamala Harris and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes received by each Kamala Harris and the second place candidate by the sum of all votes cast in Wisconsin and Georgia each for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.

If Kamala Harris loses both states, this market will resolve based off the state in which she had a smaller margin of defeat between herself and the first place candidate.

This market will resolve based off the official vote count once both relevant states have certified the vote.

If a recount is initiated in either state before certification, this market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.
Объем
$40,982
Дата окончания
Nov 5, 2024
Открытие рынка
Oct 23, 2024, 3:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Wisconsin” if Kamala Harris's margin of victory winning the popular vote in Wisconsin is higher than her margin of victory winning the popular vote in Georgia in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. This market will resolve to "Georgia” if Kamala Harris's margin of victory winning the popular vote in Georgia is higher than her margin of victory winning the popular vote in Georgia in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Kamala Harris and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes received by each Kamala Harris and the second place candidate by the sum of all votes cast in Wisconsin and Georgia each for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. If Kamala Harris loses both states, this market will resolve based off the state in which she had a smaller margin of defeat between herself and the first place candidate. This market will resolve based off the official vote count once both relevant states have certified the vote. If a recount is initiated in either state before certification, this market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.

Предложенный исход: Wisconsin

Оспаривается

Предложенный исход: Wisconsin

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Wisconsin

This market will resolve to "Wisconsin” if Kamala Harris's margin of victory winning the popular vote in Wisconsin is higher than her margin of victory winning the popular vote in Georgia in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.

This market will resolve to "Georgia” if Kamala Harris's margin of victory winning the popular vote in Georgia is higher than her margin of victory winning the popular vote in Georgia in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.

For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Kamala Harris and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes received by each Kamala Harris and the second place candidate by the sum of all votes cast in Wisconsin and Georgia each for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.

If Kamala Harris loses both states, this market will resolve based off the state in which she had a smaller margin of defeat between herself and the first place candidate.

This market will resolve based off the official vote count once both relevant states have certified the vote.

If a recount is initiated in either state before certification, this market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.
Объем
$40,982
Дата окончания
Nov 5, 2024
Открытие рынка
Oct 23, 2024, 3:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Wisconsin” if Kamala Harris's margin of victory winning the popular vote in Wisconsin is higher than her margin of victory winning the popular vote in Georgia in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. This market will resolve to "Georgia” if Kamala Harris's margin of victory winning the popular vote in Georgia is higher than her margin of victory winning the popular vote in Georgia in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Kamala Harris and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes received by each Kamala Harris and the second place candidate by the sum of all votes cast in Wisconsin and Georgia each for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. If Kamala Harris loses both states, this market will resolve based off the state in which she had a smaller margin of defeat between herself and the first place candidate. This market will resolve based off the official vote count once both relevant states have certified the vote. If a recount is initiated in either state before certification, this market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.

Предложенный исход: Wisconsin

Оспаривается

Предложенный исход: Wisconsin

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Wisconsin

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Will Kamala do better in Georgia or Wisconsin?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Will Kamala do better in Georgia or Wisconsin?» с 100%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Will Kamala do better in Georgia or Wisconsin?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $41K с момента запуска рынка Oct 23, 2024. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Will Kamala do better in Georgia or Wisconsin?», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Will Kamala do better in Georgia or Wisconsin?» — «Will Kamala do better in Georgia or Wisconsin?» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

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