Trader consensus reflects an 86% implied probability that Alexandre de Moraes will remain a Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) justice, driven by formidable constitutional hurdles requiring a two-thirds Senate supermajority for impeachment alongside procedural mandates limiting removal requests to the prosecutor general, as affirmed in recent STF rulings. Opposition lawmakers renewed impeachment pushes in March 2026, citing alleged family law firm contracts with scandal-tainted Banco Master and prior judicial actions, yet these bids have stalled without committee advancement or broader congressional support. The U.S. Treasury's December 2025 removal of Magnitsky sanctions further diminished external leverage, bolstering de Moraes' entrenched position ahead of his mandatory retirement at age 75.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДа
$17,197 Объем
$17,197 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$17,197 Объем
$17,197 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus reflects an 86% implied probability that Alexandre de Moraes will remain a Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) justice, driven by formidable constitutional hurdles requiring a two-thirds Senate supermajority for impeachment alongside procedural mandates limiting removal requests to the prosecutor general, as affirmed in recent STF rulings. Opposition lawmakers renewed impeachment pushes in March 2026, citing alleged family law firm contracts with scandal-tainted Banco Master and prior judicial actions, yet these bids have stalled without committee advancement or broader congressional support. The U.S. Treasury's December 2025 removal of Magnitsky sanctions further diminished external leverage, bolstering de Moraes' entrenched position ahead of his mandatory retirement at age 75.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
Объем
$17,197Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus reflects an 86% implied probability that Alexandre de Moraes will remain a Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) justice, driven by formidable constitutional hurdles requiring a two-thirds Senate supermajority for impeachment alongside procedural mandates limiting removal requests to the prosecutor general, as affirmed in recent STF rulings. Opposition lawmakers renewed impeachment pushes in March 2026, citing alleged family law firm contracts with scandal-tainted Banco Master and prior judicial actions, yet these bids have stalled without committee advancement or broader congressional support. The U.S. Treasury's December 2025 removal of Magnitsky sanctions further diminished external leverage, bolstering de Moraes' entrenched position ahead of his mandatory retirement at age 75.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$17,197Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects an 86% implied probability that Alexandre de Moraes will remain a Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) justice, driven by formidable constitutional hurdles requiring a two-thirds Senate supermajority for impeachment alongside procedural mandates limiting removal requests to the prosecutor general, as affirmed in recent STF rulings. Opposition lawmakers renewed impeachment pushes in March 2026, citing alleged family law firm contracts with scandal-tainted Banco Master and prior judicial actions, yet these bids have stalled without committee advancement or broader congressional support. The U.S. Treasury's December 2025 removal of Magnitsky sanctions further diminished external leverage, bolstering de Moraes' entrenched position ahead of his mandatory retirement at age 75.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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