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Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 9?

Market icon

Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 9?

Harris by 0.5-0.9 100.0%

Trump by 1.5+ <1%

Trump by 1.0-1.4 <1%

Trump by 0.5-0.9 <1%

Polymarket

$245,769 Объем

Harris by 0.5-0.9 100.0%

Trump by 1.5+ <1%

Trump by 1.0-1.4 <1%

Trump by 0.5-0.9 <1%

Polymarket

$245,769 Объем

Trump by 1.5+

$56,163 Объем

No

Trump by 1.0-1.4

$26,527 Объем

No

Trump by 0.5-0.9

$21,912 Объем

No

Trump by 0-0.4

$20,529 Объем

No

Harris by 0.1-0.4

$43,090 Объем

No

Harris by 0.5-0.9

$29,386 Объем

Yes

Harris by 1+

$48,160 Объем

No

This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of August 9, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average is Trump +1.5 or more percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on August 9, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by August 12, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of August 9, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of August 9, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is between Trump +1.0 (inclusive) and Trump +1.4 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on August 9, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris is not available by August 12, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of August 9, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of August 9, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is between Trump +0.5 (inclusive) and Trump +0.9 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on August 9, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris is not available by August 12, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of August 9, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harrisas of August 9, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin between Trump and Kamala Harris is between 0.0 (inclusive) and Trump +0.4 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on August 9, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris is not available by August 12, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of August 9, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump as of August 9, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is between Harris +0.1 (inclusive) and Harris +0.4 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on August 9, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris is not available by August 12, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of August 9, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of August 9, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is between Harris +0.5 (inclusive) and Harris +0.9 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on August 9, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris is not available by August 12, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of August 9, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of August 9, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is Kamala +1 or more percentage points.. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on August 9, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris is not available by August 12, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of August 9, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.

This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of August 9, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market.

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average is Trump +1.5 or more percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.

The RCP Polling Average will be checked on August 9, 12:00 PM ET.

Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used.

If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by August 12, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of August 9, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.
Объем
$245,769
Дата окончания
Aug 9, 2024
Открытие рынка
Aug 2, 2024, 7:31 PM ET
This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of August 9, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average is Trump +1.5 or more percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on August 9, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by August 12, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of August 9, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of August 9, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average is Trump +1.5 or more percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on August 9, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by August 12, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of August 9, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of August 9, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is between Trump +1.0 (inclusive) and Trump +1.4 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on August 9, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris is not available by August 12, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of August 9, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of August 9, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is between Trump +0.5 (inclusive) and Trump +0.9 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on August 9, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris is not available by August 12, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of August 9, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harrisas of August 9, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin between Trump and Kamala Harris is between 0.0 (inclusive) and Trump +0.4 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on August 9, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris is not available by August 12, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of August 9, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump as of August 9, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is between Harris +0.1 (inclusive) and Harris +0.4 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on August 9, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris is not available by August 12, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of August 9, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of August 9, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is between Harris +0.5 (inclusive) and Harris +0.9 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on August 9, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris is not available by August 12, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of August 9, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of August 9, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is Kamala +1 or more percentage points.. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on August 9, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris is not available by August 12, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of August 9, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 9?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 7 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Harris by 0.5-0.9» с 100%, за ним следует «Trump by 1.5+» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 9?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $245.8K с момента запуска рынка Aug 2, 2024. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 9?», просмотри 7 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 9?» — «Harris by 0.5-0.9» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Trump by 1.5+» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

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