Vice President JD Vance has emerged as Iran's preferred US negotiator amid the ongoing conflict, with Tehran citing a trust gap with hawkish Trump administration figures like Marco Rubio and Pete Hegseth. Over the past week, Pakistani mediation efforts have spotlighted Vance as a potential lead in Islamabad talks possibly starting next week, bolstered by his recent statements claiming Iran's conventional military is "effectively destroyed," enhancing US leverage for diplomacy. White House confirmation of his involvement in national security discussions, coupled with reports of a planned Vance visit to Pakistan this weekend, drives trader focus on backchannel progress. No direct diplomatic meeting has occurred as of March 28, 2026; resolution hinges on verified in-person engagement, amid stalled ceasefire proposals demanding nuclear curbs and missile limits.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДипломатическая встреча Джей Ди Вэнса с Ираном...?
Дипломатическая встреча Джей Ди Вэнса с Ираном...?
$143,609 Объем
Apr 30, 2026
31 марта
5%
10 апреля
22%
$143,609 Объем
31 марта
$100,278 Объем
5%
10 апреля
$43,332 Объем
22%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Vice President JD Vance has emerged as Iran's preferred US negotiator amid the ongoing conflict, with Tehran citing a trust gap with hawkish Trump administration figures like Marco Rubio and Pete Hegseth. Over the past week, Pakistani mediation efforts have spotlighted Vance as a potential lead in Islamabad talks possibly starting next week, bolstered by his recent statements claiming Iran's conventional military is "effectively destroyed," enhancing US leverage for diplomacy. White House confirmation of his involvement in national security discussions, coupled with reports of a planned Vance visit to Pakistan this weekend, drives trader focus on backchannel progress. No direct diplomatic meeting has occurred as of March 28, 2026; resolution hinges on verified in-person engagement, amid stalled ceasefire proposals demanding nuclear curbs and missile limits.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Объем
$143,609Дата окончания
Apr 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Vice President JD Vance has emerged as Iran's preferred US negotiator amid the ongoing conflict, with Tehran citing a trust gap with hawkish Trump administration figures like Marco Rubio and Pete Hegseth. Over the past week, Pakistani mediation efforts have spotlighted Vance as a potential lead in Islamabad talks possibly starting next week, bolstered by his recent statements claiming Iran's conventional military is "effectively destroyed," enhancing US leverage for diplomacy. White House confirmation of his involvement in national security discussions, coupled with reports of a planned Vance visit to Pakistan this weekend, drives trader focus on backchannel progress. No direct diplomatic meeting has occurred as of March 28, 2026; resolution hinges on verified in-person engagement, amid stalled ceasefire proposals demanding nuclear curbs and missile limits.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$143,609Дата окончания
Apr 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Vice President JD Vance has emerged as Iran's preferred US negotiator amid the ongoing conflict, with Tehran citing a trust gap with hawkish Trump administration figures like Marco Rubio and Pete Hegseth. Over the past week, Pakistani mediation efforts have spotlighted Vance as a potential lead in Islamabad talks possibly starting next week, bolstered by his recent statements claiming Iran's conventional military is "effectively destroyed," enhancing US leverage for diplomacy. White House confirmation of his involvement in national security discussions, coupled with reports of a planned Vance visit to Pakistan this weekend, drives trader focus on backchannel progress. No direct diplomatic meeting has occurred as of March 28, 2026; resolution hinges on verified in-person engagement, amid stalled ceasefire proposals demanding nuclear curbs and missile limits.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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