Polymarket traders price a June SpaceX IPO at the highest implied probability of 33.5%, reflecting speculation around accelerating Starship test milestones and Starlink's subscriber surge that recently valued the company above $200 billion in secondary tenders. This edges out July (12.4%) and a 12.6% chance of no IPO before 2027, highlighting fragmented sentiment amid Elon Musk's repeated insistence on delaying public listing until reliable Mars transport. Near-term months like June through September derive lift from potential Starlink spin-off liquidity, while later odds hinge on regulatory approvals and valuation peaks; traders eye next Starship flights as pivotal catalysts in this wide-open field.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоИюнь 38%
Июль 12.4%
Ноябрь 9.4%
Сентябрь 8.3%
Март
1%
Апрель
9%
Май
6%
Июнь
33%
Июль
12%
Август
8%
Сентябрь
11%
Октябрь
4%
Ноябрь
9%
Декабрь
1%
Нет IPO до 2027 года
12%
Июнь 38%
Июль 12.4%
Ноябрь 9.4%
Сентябрь 8.3%
Март
1%
Апрель
9%
Май
6%
Июнь
33%
Июль
12%
Август
8%
Сентябрь
11%
Октябрь
4%
Ноябрь
9%
Декабрь
1%
Нет IPO до 2027 года
12%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Открытие рынка: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a June SpaceX IPO at the highest implied probability of 33.5%, reflecting speculation around accelerating Starship test milestones and Starlink's subscriber surge that recently valued the company above $200 billion in secondary tenders. This edges out July (12.4%) and a 12.6% chance of no IPO before 2027, highlighting fragmented sentiment amid Elon Musk's repeated insistence on delaying public listing until reliable Mars transport. Near-term months like June through September derive lift from potential Starlink spin-off liquidity, while later odds hinge on regulatory approvals and valuation peaks; traders eye next Starship flights as pivotal catalysts in this wide-open field.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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