Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a leading 35% implied probability to a June SpaceX IPO, fueled by the company's blockbuster $350 billion private valuation from a December tender offer and accelerating Starship test successes that bolster revenue projections from Starlink and NASA contracts. This edges out September (10.8%) and November (9.3%), likely tied to fiscal year-end liquidity needs and potential regulatory clearances, while 12.5% odds on no IPO before 2027 reflect Elon Musk's firm stance delaying public listing until operational stability for Mars missions. Absent an S-1 filing, these market-implied odds hinge on capital demands amid private funding abundance, with uncertainty amplified by zero confirmed timelines from SpaceX leadership.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоИюнь 35%
Июль 8.4%
Сентябрь 8.3%
Май 6.2%
$63,505 Объем
$63,505 Объем
Март
1%
Апрель
9%
Май
6%
Июнь
35%
Июль
8%
Август
8%
Сентябрь
11%
Октябрь
4%
Ноябрь
9%
Декабрь
4%
Нет IPO до 2027 года
12%
Июнь 35%
Июль 8.4%
Сентябрь 8.3%
Май 6.2%
$63,505 Объем
$63,505 Объем
Март
1%
Апрель
9%
Май
6%
Июнь
35%
Июль
8%
Август
8%
Сентябрь
11%
Октябрь
4%
Ноябрь
9%
Декабрь
4%
Нет IPO до 2027 года
12%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Открытие рынка: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a leading 35% implied probability to a June SpaceX IPO, fueled by the company's blockbuster $350 billion private valuation from a December tender offer and accelerating Starship test successes that bolster revenue projections from Starlink and NASA contracts. This edges out September (10.8%) and November (9.3%), likely tied to fiscal year-end liquidity needs and potential regulatory clearances, while 12.5% odds on no IPO before 2027 reflect Elon Musk's firm stance delaying public listing until operational stability for Mars missions. Absent an S-1 filing, these market-implied odds hinge on capital demands amid private funding abundance, with uncertainty amplified by zero confirmed timelines from SpaceX leadership.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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