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Сколько человек депортирует Трамп в 2026 году?

Market icon

Сколько человек депортирует Трамп в 2026 году?

Dec 31

Dec 31

400-500 тыс. 28%

300-400 тысяч 27%

200-300 тыс. 26%

<200 тыс. 10%

Polymarket
NEW

400-500 тыс. 28%

300-400 тысяч 27%

200-300 тыс. 26%

<200 тыс. 10%

Polymarket
NEW

<200 тыс.

$5,005 Объем

10%

200-300 тыс.

$3,318 Объем

26%

300-400 тысяч

$0 Объем

27%

400-500 тыс.

$0 Объем

28%

500-600 тыс.

$0 Объем

7%

600-700 тыс.

$0 Объем

4%

700-800 тыс.

$0 Объем

2%

800-900 тыс.

$0 Объем

2%

900 тыс. – 1 млн

$0 Объем

1%

>1 млн

$0 Объем

5%

During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf).

This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year.

The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
Объем
$8,324
Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026
Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf). This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year. The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Сколько человек депортирует Трамп в 2026 году?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "400-500 тыс." at 28%, followed by "300-400 тысяч" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Сколько человек депортирует Трамп в 2026 году?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 5, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Сколько человек депортирует Трамп в 2026 году?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Сколько человек депортирует Трамп в 2026 году?" is "400-500 тыс." at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "300-400 тысяч" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Сколько человек депортирует Трамп в 2026 году?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.