Trader consensus favors zero Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 30%, reflecting three months of stalled progress since the program's December 2025 launch via executive order, with no verified USCIS approvals despite 70,000 expressions of interest and early administration claims of $1.3 billion in 2025 commitments. A federal lawsuit filed February 2026 challenges its legality for allegedly displacing merit-based EB-1 and EB-2 visas without congressional approval, while rigorous Department of Homeland Security vetting and the non-refundable $1 million "gift" per applicant—far exceeding EB-5 investment options—deter uptake. The 1-100 range at 19.4% trails closely, as lawsuit resolution and processing accelerations could enable minimal sales, but higher buckets hinge on policy stability amid immigration reform debates.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСколько золотых карт продаст Трамп в 2026 году?
Сколько золотых карт продаст Трамп в 2026 году?
0 30%
1-100 19.5%
101-1k 9.8%
25 000–100 000 9.4%
$118,668 Объем
$118,668 Объем
Dec 31, 2026
0
30%
1-100
20%
101-1k
10%
1k-2.5k
8%
2,5–5 тыс.
8%
5–10 тыс.
7%
10k-25k
7%
25 000–100 000
9%
>100 тыс.
5%
0 30%
1-100 19.5%
101-1k 9.8%
25 000–100 000 9.4%
$118,668 Объем
$118,668 Объем
Dec 31, 2026
0
$23,853 Объем
30%
1-100
$9,573 Объем
20%
101-1k
$4,777 Объем
10%
1k-2.5k
$7,225 Объем
8%
2,5–5 тыс.
$4,216 Объем
8%
5–10 тыс.
$4,525 Объем
7%
10k-25k
$51,594 Объем
7%
25 000–100 000
$4,096 Объем
9%
>100 тыс.
$8,807 Объем
5%
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus favors zero Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 30%, reflecting three months of stalled progress since the program's December 2025 launch via executive order, with no verified USCIS approvals despite 70,000 expressions of interest and early administration claims of $1.3 billion in 2025 commitments. A federal lawsuit filed February 2026 challenges its legality for allegedly displacing merit-based EB-1 and EB-2 visas without congressional approval, while rigorous Department of Homeland Security vetting and the non-refundable $1 million "gift" per applicant—far exceeding EB-5 investment options—deter uptake. The 1-100 range at 19.4% trails closely, as lawsuit resolution and processing accelerations could enable minimal sales, but higher buckets hinge on policy stability amid immigration reform debates.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
Объем
$118,668Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus favors zero Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 30%, reflecting three months of stalled progress since the program's December 2025 launch via executive order, with no verified USCIS approvals despite 70,000 expressions of interest and early administration claims of $1.3 billion in 2025 commitments. A federal lawsuit filed February 2026 challenges its legality for allegedly displacing merit-based EB-1 and EB-2 visas without congressional approval, while rigorous Department of Homeland Security vetting and the non-refundable $1 million "gift" per applicant—far exceeding EB-5 investment options—deter uptake. The 1-100 range at 19.4% trails closely, as lawsuit resolution and processing accelerations could enable minimal sales, but higher buckets hinge on policy stability amid immigration reform debates.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$118,668Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors zero Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 30%, reflecting three months of stalled progress since the program's December 2025 launch via executive order, with no verified USCIS approvals despite 70,000 expressions of interest and early administration claims of $1.3 billion in 2025 commitments. A federal lawsuit filed February 2026 challenges its legality for allegedly displacing merit-based EB-1 and EB-2 visas without congressional approval, while rigorous Department of Homeland Security vetting and the non-refundable $1 million "gift" per applicant—far exceeding EB-5 investment options—deter uptake. The 1-100 range at 19.4% trails closely, as lawsuit resolution and processing accelerations could enable minimal sales, but higher buckets hinge on policy stability amid immigration reform debates.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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