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Политика·Греция

How late will Trump be to the Greek Independence Day event?

Market icon
Политика·Греция

How late will Trump be to the Greek Independence Day event?

20 - 25 minutes 100.0%

<20 минут <1%

25 - 30 minutes <1%

30 - 35 minutes <1%

Polymarket

$52,780 Объем

20 - 25 minutes 100.0%

<20 минут <1%

25 - 30 minutes <1%

30 - 35 minutes <1%

Polymarket

$52,780 Объем

<20 минут

$19,934 Объем

Нет

20 - 25 minutes

$901 Объем

Yes

25 - 30 minutes

$16,476 Объем

No

30 - 35 minutes

$205 Объем

No

35 - 40 minutes

$14,264 Объем

No

40+ minutes

$1,000 Объем

No

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Greek Independence Day celebration on March 26, 2026, 4PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of minutes past the scheduled start time that Donald Trump begins speaking at his scheduled appearance at the Greek Independence Day celebration. This market will resolve based on when Donald Trump begins speaking. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Greek Independence Day event scheduled for March 26, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If no qualifying event occurs by March 26, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be streamed footage of the relevant event from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)Trader consensus assigns a commanding 92.5% implied probability to former President Trump arriving 20-25 minutes late to the Greek Independence Day event, driven by his longstanding pattern of moderate delays at public appearances, including recent campaign rallies and past official receptions where extended speeches or preparations routinely cause 15-30 minute overruns. This skin-in-the-game assessment draws on historical base rates from Trump's schedule management, with no major developments in the past week—such as announcements on event logistics or preceding commitments—altering the positioning. Realistic challenges could arise from unusually streamlined transitions or early wrap-ups, potentially landing under 20 minutes, or prolonged prior engagements pushing into 30+ minutes amid traffic or security protocols.

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Greek Independence Day celebration on March 26, 2026, 4PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of minutes past the scheduled start time that Donald Trump begins speaking at his scheduled appearance at the Greek Independence Day celebration. This market will resolve based on when Donald Trump begins speaking.

If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Greek Independence Day event scheduled for March 26, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.

If no qualifying event occurs by March 26, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be streamed footage of the relevant event from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)
Объем
$52,780
Дата окончания
Mar 26, 2026
Открытие рынка
Mar 26, 2026, 10:37 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Предложенный исход: Нет

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Нет

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Greek Independence Day celebration on March 26, 2026, 4PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of minutes past the scheduled start time that Donald Trump begins speaking at his scheduled appearance at the Greek Independence Day celebration. This market will resolve based on when Donald Trump begins speaking. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Greek Independence Day event scheduled for March 26, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If no qualifying event occurs by March 26, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be streamed footage of the relevant event from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)Trader consensus assigns a commanding 92.5% implied probability to former President Trump arriving 20-25 minutes late to the Greek Independence Day event, driven by his longstanding pattern of moderate delays at public appearances, including recent campaign rallies and past official receptions where extended speeches or preparations routinely cause 15-30 minute overruns. This skin-in-the-game assessment draws on historical base rates from Trump's schedule management, with no major developments in the past week—such as announcements on event logistics or preceding commitments—altering the positioning. Realistic challenges could arise from unusually streamlined transitions or early wrap-ups, potentially landing under 20 minutes, or prolonged prior engagements pushing into 30+ minutes amid traffic or security protocols.

Trader consensus assigns a commanding 92.5% implied probability to former President Trump arriving 20-25 minutes late to the Greek Independence Day event, driven by his longstanding pattern of moderate delays at public appearances, including recent campaign rallies and past official receptions where extended speeches or preparations routinely cause 15-30 minute overruns. This skin-in-the-game assessment draws on historical base rates from Trump's schedule management, with no major developments in the past week—such as announcements on event logistics or preceding commitments—altering the positioning. Realistic challenges could arise from unusually streamlined transitions or early wrap-ups, potentially landing under 20 minutes, or prolonged prior engagements pushing into 30+ minutes amid traffic or security protocols.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено

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Текущий фаворит для «How late will Trump be to the Greek Independence Day event?» — «20 - 25 minutes» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «<20 минут» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

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