Official observations from the National Weather Service's Dallas Love Field station—the market's resolution source—place April 3's high temperature at 82-83°F, yielding 100% market-implied probability as traders align with preliminary hourly data amid minimal uncertainty. This outcome follows record-shattering March warmth in Dallas-Fort Worth, averaging 67.6°F with sporadic 90°F+ highs, sustained by persistent high pressure and southerly flows boosting early April readings above the 76°F climatological normal. NOAA forecast models showed strong consensus for this range pre-event. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc revisions in the forthcoming NWS daily climate summary if quality-controlled data uncovers a higher peak, though urban ASOS stations rarely shift significantly.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Dallas on April 3?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 3?
82-83°F 100.0%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$141,608 Объем
$141,608 Объем
82-83°F
100%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 100.0%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$141,608 Объем
$141,608 Объем
82-83°F
100%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from the National Weather Service's Dallas Love Field station—the market's resolution source—place April 3's high temperature at 82-83°F, yielding 100% market-implied probability as traders align with preliminary hourly data amid minimal uncertainty. This outcome follows record-shattering March warmth in Dallas-Fort Worth, averaging 67.6°F with sporadic 90°F+ highs, sustained by persistent high pressure and southerly flows boosting early April readings above the 76°F climatological normal. NOAA forecast models showed strong consensus for this range pre-event. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc revisions in the forthcoming NWS daily climate summary if quality-controlled data uncovers a higher peak, though urban ASOS stations rarely shift significantly.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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