Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a Democratic victory in Hawaii's 2026 gubernatorial race at 93.5%, driven by the state's entrenched Democratic dominance—no Republican has won since statehood in 1959—and incumbent Governor Josh Green's strong position for re-election, bolstered by his 56% approval rating stemming from effective handling of the 2023 Maui wildfires. Hawaii's Democratic supermajorities in the legislature, lopsided voter registration edges, and historical general election landslides (e.g., Green's 63% win in 2022) reinforce this commanding lead ahead of the June filing deadline, August 8 open primaries, and November 3 general election. Scenarios to shift odds include a major Democratic scandal, Green withdrawal, or unprecedented Republican recruitment, though none have emerged in recent weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Гавайев
Победитель выборов губернатора Гавайев
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Демократ
95%
Республиканец
5%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Демократ
$0 Объем
95%
Республиканец
$0 Объем
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a Democratic victory in Hawaii's 2026 gubernatorial race at 93.5%, driven by the state's entrenched Democratic dominance—no Republican has won since statehood in 1959—and incumbent Governor Josh Green's strong position for re-election, bolstered by his 56% approval rating stemming from effective handling of the 2023 Maui wildfires. Hawaii's Democratic supermajorities in the legislature, lopsided voter registration edges, and historical general election landslides (e.g., Green's 63% win in 2022) reinforce this commanding lead ahead of the June filing deadline, August 8 open primaries, and November 3 general election. Scenarios to shift odds include a major Democratic scandal, Green withdrawal, or unprecedented Republican recruitment, though none have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a Democratic victory in Hawaii's 2026 gubernatorial race at 93.5%, driven by the state's entrenched Democratic dominance—no Republican has won since statehood in 1959—and incumbent Governor Josh Green's strong position for re-election, bolstered by his 56% approval rating stemming from effective handling of the 2023 Maui wildfires. Hawaii's Democratic supermajorities in the legislature, lopsided voter registration edges, and historical general election landslides (e.g., Green's 63% win in 2022) reinforce this commanding lead ahead of the June filing deadline, August 8 open primaries, and November 3 general election. Scenarios to shift odds include a major Democratic scandal, Green withdrawal, or unprecedented Republican recruitment, though none have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a Democratic victory in Hawaii's 2026 gubernatorial race at 93.5%, driven by the state's entrenched Democratic dominance—no Republican has won since statehood in 1959—and incumbent Governor Josh Green's strong position for re-election, bolstered by his 56% approval rating stemming from effective handling of the 2023 Maui wildfires. Hawaii's Democratic supermajorities in the legislature, lopsided voter registration edges, and historical general election landslides (e.g., Green's 63% win in 2022) reinforce this commanding lead ahead of the June filing deadline, August 8 open primaries, and November 3 general election. Scenarios to shift odds include a major Democratic scandal, Green withdrawal, or unprecedented Republican recruitment, though none have emerged in recent weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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