Skip to main content
icon for Победитель выборов в Сенат Флориды
Выборы·Промежуточные выборы

Победитель выборов в Сенат Флориды

icon for Победитель выборов в Сенат Флориды
Выборы·Промежуточные выборы

Победитель выборов в Сенат Флориды

$64,842 Объем

Polymarket

$64,842 Объем

icon for Республиканец

Республиканец

$36,652 Объем

89%

icon for Демократ

Демократ

$28,190 Объем

11%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's special U.S. Senate election on November 3, 2026, features Republican incumbent Ashley Moody, appointed in 2025 to complete Marco Rubio's term after his resignation as secretary of state. Recent University of North Florida polling from July shows Moody leading prospective Democratic nominees Alex Vindman or Angie Nixon by 8–10 points in general election matchups, consistent with the state's Republican lean and historical voting patterns. Moody faces limited primary opposition on August 18 while Democrats split their nomination contest; her advantages in name recognition, fundraising, and alignment with statewide trends contribute to trader consensus favoring a Republican hold. Scheduled primary outcomes and any late shifts in turnout or endorsements could still influence the final margin before November.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$64,842
Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's special U.S. Senate election on November 3, 2026, features Republican incumbent Ashley Moody, appointed in 2025 to complete Marco Rubio's term after his resignation as secretary of state. Recent University of North Florida polling from July shows Moody leading prospective Democratic nominees Alex Vindman or Angie Nixon by 8–10 points in general election matchups, consistent with the state's Republican lean and historical voting patterns. Moody faces limited primary opposition on August 18 while Democrats split their nomination contest; her advantages in name recognition, fundraising, and alignment with statewide trends contribute to trader consensus favoring a Republican hold. Scheduled primary outcomes and any late shifts in turnout or endorsements could still influence the final margin before November.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$64,842
Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Связанные

icon for Победят ли демократы на выборах в Сенат Огайо в 2026 году?

Победят ли демократы на выборах в Сенат Огайо в 2026 году?

52%
Да
icon for Выиграют ли республиканцы выборы в Сенат Техаса в 2026 году?

Выиграют ли республиканцы выборы в Сенат Техаса в 2026 году?

51%
Да
icon for Выиграют ли демократы выборы в Сенат Миннесоты в 2026 году?

Выиграют ли демократы выборы в Сенат Миннесоты в 2026 году?

94%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов в Сенат Флориды» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Республиканец» с 89%, за ним следует «Демократ» с 11%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 89¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 89%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Победитель выборов в Сенат Флориды» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $64.8K с момента запуска рынка Oct 13, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов в Сенат Флориды», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов в Сенат Флориды» — «Республиканец» с 89%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 89%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Демократ» с 11%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов в Сенат Флориды» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.