Market icon

First leader out of power in 2025?

Ended: Dec 31, 2025

Ishiba - Japan PM 100.0%

al-Sharaa - Syria President <1%

Meloni - Italy PM <1%

Lula da Silva - Brazil President <1%

Polymarket

$64,368,639 Объем

Правила

This market will resolve according to the first individual that ceases to occupy their listed office.

An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify.

Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.

Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.

If this criteria has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None in 2025”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$64,368,639
Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2025
Дата создания
Mar 11, 2025, 5:54 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the first individual that ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criteria has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None in 2025”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Market icon

First leader out of power in 2025?

Ended: Dec 31, 2025

Ishiba - Japan PM 100.0%

al-Sharaa - Syria President <1%

Meloni - Italy PM <1%

Lula da Silva - Brazil President <1%

Polymarket

$64,368,639 Объем

Market icon

al-Sharaa - Syria President

$1,491,993 Объем

No

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Meloni - Italy PM

$812,942 Объем

No

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Ishiba - Japan PM

$2,093,494 Объем

Yes

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Lula da Silva - Brazil President

$10,288,596 Объем

No

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Putin - Russia President

$1,782,662 Объем

No

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Zelenskyy - Ukraine President

$1,645,702 Объем

No

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Macron - France President

$1,659,437 Объем

No

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el-Sisi - Egypt President

$791,893 Объем

No

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Trump - USA President

$2,519,416 Объем

No

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Starmer - UK PM

$1,434,881 Объем

No

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Milei - Argentina President

$781,298 Объем

No

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Newsom - California Governor

$552,939 Объем

No

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Netanyahu - Israel PM

$1,593,629 Объем

No

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Albanese - Australia PM

$17,791,731 Объем

No

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Maduro - Venezuela President

$2,046,071 Объем

No

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None in 2025

$2,181,638 Объем

No

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Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader

$1,740,272 Объем

No

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Xi - General Secretary of CCP

$1,833,966 Объем

No

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Erdoğan - Türkiye President

$833,893 Объем

No

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Kim - Supreme Leader of NK

$10,492,185 Объем

No

О нас

Объем
$64,368,639
Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2025
Дата создания
Mar 11, 2025, 5:54 PM ET

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.