Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 97.3% implied probability, driven by the absence of any official confirmation from intelligence agencies or governments despite early 2026 releases of Epstein files revealing unverified claims from a single FBI informant alleging Epstein was a "co-opted Mossad agent" with ties to former Israeli PM Ehud Barak. Israeli officials, including PM Netanyahu, ex-PM Naftali Bennett, and former Mossad director Yossi Cohen, issued categorical denials, emphasizing no operational links. Ghislaine Maxwell's past statements also dismissed such intelligence ties for Epstein. With the June 30 deadline nearing and no scheduled hearings or declassifications, structural barriers like national security classifications make confirmation highly improbable absent unprecedented whistleblower evidence or admissions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДа
$17,394 Объем
$17,394 Объем
Да
$17,394 Объем
$17,394 Объем
For the purpose of this market ‘operative’ includes any direct involvement in assisting or providing information to Mossad.
Official confirmation from the Trump administration or the Israeli government will qualify as definitive evidence.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Feb 2, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purpose of this market ‘operative’ includes any direct involvement in assisting or providing information to Mossad.
Official confirmation from the Trump administration or the Israeli government will qualify as definitive evidence.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 97.3% implied probability, driven by the absence of any official confirmation from intelligence agencies or governments despite early 2026 releases of Epstein files revealing unverified claims from a single FBI informant alleging Epstein was a "co-opted Mossad agent" with ties to former Israeli PM Ehud Barak. Israeli officials, including PM Netanyahu, ex-PM Naftali Bennett, and former Mossad director Yossi Cohen, issued categorical denials, emphasizing no operational links. Ghislaine Maxwell's past statements also dismissed such intelligence ties for Epstein. With the June 30 deadline nearing and no scheduled hearings or declassifications, structural barriers like national security classifications make confirmation highly improbable absent unprecedented whistleblower evidence or admissions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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