Trader consensus prices Candidate M slightly ahead of Iván Cepeda Castro and Paloma Valencia for Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential vote, reflecting late-March polls like Guarumo-Ecoanalítica and CNC that show Cepeda leading first-round intentions at 37-42% amid a fragmented field, with Valencia surging after dominating the center-right primary consulta on March 8 and Abelardo de la Espriella consolidating right-wing support. The March congressional elections left Pacto Histórico strongest but without a Senate majority, heightening runoff risks where right-leaning candidates poll competitively against Cepeda. High undecideds, violence concerns, and split moderate votes keep probabilities bunched; upcoming debates, endorsements, or candidate mergers could drive separation before the June runoff if needed.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПрезидентские выборы в Колумбии
Президентские выборы в Колумбии
Иван Сепеда Кастро 45%
Палома Валенсия 39.9%
Абелардо де ла Эсприелла 14%
Серхио Фахардо (DC) <1%
$10,107,160 Объем
$10,107,160 Объем

Иван Сепеда Кастро
45%

Палома Валенсия
40%

Абелардо де ла Эсприелла
14%

Серхио Фахардо (DC)
1%

Клаудия Лопес (IND)
<1%

Карлос Фелипе Кордова
<1%

Хуан Даниэль Овидео (IND)
<1%

Герман Варгас Ллерас
<1%

Рой Баррерас
<1%

Луис Гильберто Мурильо (CRB)
<1%

Вики Давила (IND)
<1%

Давид Луна Санчес (IND)
<1%

Густаво Боливар (HC)
<1%

Хуан Мануэль Галан (NL)
<1%

Маурисио Карденас
<1%

Даниэль Кинтеро
<1%

Энрике Пенальоса
<1%

Хуан Карлос Пинзон
<1%
Иван Сепеда Кастро 45%
Палома Валенсия 39.9%
Абелардо де ла Эсприелла 14%
Серхио Фахардо (DC) <1%
$10,107,160 Объем
$10,107,160 Объем

Иван Сепеда Кастро
45%

Палома Валенсия
40%

Абелардо де ла Эсприелла
14%

Серхио Фахардо (DC)
1%

Клаудия Лопес (IND)
<1%

Карлос Фелипе Кордова
<1%

Хуан Даниэль Овидео (IND)
<1%

Герман Варгас Ллерас
<1%

Рой Баррерас
<1%

Луис Гильберто Мурильо (CRB)
<1%

Вики Давила (IND)
<1%

Давид Луна Санчес (IND)
<1%

Густаво Боливар (HC)
<1%

Хуан Мануэль Галан (NL)
<1%

Маурисио Карденас
<1%

Даниэль Кинтеро
<1%

Энрике Пенальоса
<1%

Хуан Карлос Пинзон
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Открытие рынка: Jul 29, 2025, 1:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Candidate M slightly ahead of Iván Cepeda Castro and Paloma Valencia for Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential vote, reflecting late-March polls like Guarumo-Ecoanalítica and CNC that show Cepeda leading first-round intentions at 37-42% amid a fragmented field, with Valencia surging after dominating the center-right primary consulta on March 8 and Abelardo de la Espriella consolidating right-wing support. The March congressional elections left Pacto Histórico strongest but without a Senate majority, heightening runoff risks where right-leaning candidates poll competitively against Cepeda. High undecideds, violence concerns, and split moderate votes keep probabilities bunched; upcoming debates, endorsements, or candidate mergers could drive separation before the June runoff if needed.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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