Polymarket traders' closely matched implied probabilities for Argentina's 2026 annual inflation—25-29.9% at 27.5%, 20-24.9% at 25.0%, and 30-34.9% at 21.6%—reflect persistent monthly consumer price index (CPI) gains of 2.9% in both January and February 2026, exceeding forecasts and stalling disinflation momentum. President Milei's fiscal austerity has driven annual CPI down to 33.1% year-over-year in February from triple digits in 2023, yet stickiness in administered prices like utilities and food dynamics has prompted upward revisions in analyst estimates, including BBVA Research's 24% and central bank surveys near 20%. March CPI data, due mid-April and projected around 2.9%, remains the pivotal catalyst that could differentiate moderation paths versus renewed pressures.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено25-29,9% 28%
20-24,9% 25%
30,0–34,9% 21.6%
<20% 17.0%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 янв. 2027 г.
<20%
17%
20-24,9%
25%
25-29,9%
28%
30,0–34,9%
22%
35–39,9%
7%
40-44,9%
11%
45%+
8%
25-29,9% 28%
20-24,9% 25%
30,0–34,9% 21.6%
<20% 17.0%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 янв. 2027 г.
<20%
$1,693 Объем
17%
20-24,9%
$416 Объем
25%
25-29,9%
$0 Объем
28%
30,0–34,9%
$367 Объем
22%
35–39,9%
$470 Объем
7%
40-44,9%
$572 Объем
11%
45%+
$878 Объем
8%
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket traders' closely matched implied probabilities for Argentina's 2026 annual inflation—25-29.9% at 27.5%, 20-24.9% at 25.0%, and 30-34.9% at 21.6%—reflect persistent monthly consumer price index (CPI) gains of 2.9% in both January and February 2026, exceeding forecasts and stalling disinflation momentum. President Milei's fiscal austerity has driven annual CPI down to 33.1% year-over-year in February from triple digits in 2023, yet stickiness in administered prices like utilities and food dynamics has prompted upward revisions in analyst estimates, including BBVA Research's 24% and central bank surveys near 20%. March CPI data, due mid-April and projected around 2.9%, remains the pivotal catalyst that could differentiate moderation paths versus renewed pressures.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Открытие рынка: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Объем
$4,397Дата окончания
10 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket traders' closely matched implied probabilities for Argentina's 2026 annual inflation—25-29.9% at 27.5%, 20-24.9% at 25.0%, and 30-34.9% at 21.6%—reflect persistent monthly consumer price index (CPI) gains of 2.9% in both January and February 2026, exceeding forecasts and stalling disinflation momentum. President Milei's fiscal austerity has driven annual CPI down to 33.1% year-over-year in February from triple digits in 2023, yet stickiness in administered prices like utilities and food dynamics has prompted upward revisions in analyst estimates, including BBVA Research's 24% and central bank surveys near 20%. March CPI data, due mid-April and projected around 2.9%, remains the pivotal catalyst that could differentiate moderation paths versus renewed pressures.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Объем
$4,397Дата окончания
10 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders' closely matched implied probabilities for Argentina's 2026 annual inflation—25-29.9% at 27.5%, 20-24.9% at 25.0%, and 30-34.9% at 21.6%—reflect persistent monthly consumer price index (CPI) gains of 2.9% in both January and February 2026, exceeding forecasts and stalling disinflation momentum. President Milei's fiscal austerity has driven annual CPI down to 33.1% year-over-year in February from triple digits in 2023, yet stickiness in administered prices like utilities and food dynamics has prompted upward revisions in analyst estimates, including BBVA Research's 24% and central bank surveys near 20%. March CPI data, due mid-April and projected around 2.9%, remains the pivotal catalyst that could differentiate moderation paths versus renewed pressures.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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