Justice Alexandre de Moraes remains firmly entrenched on Brazil's Supreme Federal Court (STF) amid trader consensus implying a 77% probability he stays through the market's resolution, driven by structural barriers to removal including lifetime tenure until age 75 and the high Senate impeachment threshold of two-thirds majority. Recent Senate President Rodrigo Pacheco's rejection of multiple impeachment petitions from Bolsonaro allies in late September underscores institutional resistance, with no active proceedings advancing despite vocal opposition from conservatives over Moraes' rulings on disinformation, X platform restrictions, and January 8 riot investigations. Ongoing judicial actions, including fresh orders against election denialism, signal his continued influence, while Lula administration support bolsters his position absent a major scandal or coalition shift.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДа
$14,285 Объем
$14,285 Объем
Dec 31, 2026
Да
$14,285 Объем
$14,285 Объем
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justice Alexandre de Moraes remains firmly entrenched on Brazil's Supreme Federal Court (STF) amid trader consensus implying a 77% probability he stays through the market's resolution, driven by structural barriers to removal including lifetime tenure until age 75 and the high Senate impeachment threshold of two-thirds majority. Recent Senate President Rodrigo Pacheco's rejection of multiple impeachment petitions from Bolsonaro allies in late September underscores institutional resistance, with no active proceedings advancing despite vocal opposition from conservatives over Moraes' rulings on disinformation, X platform restrictions, and January 8 riot investigations. Ongoing judicial actions, including fresh orders against election denialism, signal his continued influence, while Lula administration support bolsters his position absent a major scandal or coalition shift.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
Объем
$14,285Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justice Alexandre de Moraes remains firmly entrenched on Brazil's Supreme Federal Court (STF) amid trader consensus implying a 77% probability he stays through the market's resolution, driven by structural barriers to removal including lifetime tenure until age 75 and the high Senate impeachment threshold of two-thirds majority. Recent Senate President Rodrigo Pacheco's rejection of multiple impeachment petitions from Bolsonaro allies in late September underscores institutional resistance, with no active proceedings advancing despite vocal opposition from conservatives over Moraes' rulings on disinformation, X platform restrictions, and January 8 riot investigations. Ongoing judicial actions, including fresh orders against election denialism, signal his continued influence, while Lula administration support bolsters his position absent a major scandal or coalition shift.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$14,285Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Justice Alexandre de Moraes remains firmly entrenched on Brazil's Supreme Federal Court (STF) amid trader consensus implying a 77% probability he stays through the market's resolution, driven by structural barriers to removal including lifetime tenure until age 75 and the high Senate impeachment threshold of two-thirds majority. Recent Senate President Rodrigo Pacheco's rejection of multiple impeachment petitions from Bolsonaro allies in late September underscores institutional resistance, with no active proceedings advancing despite vocal opposition from conservatives over Moraes' rulings on disinformation, X platform restrictions, and January 8 riot investigations. Ongoing judicial actions, including fresh orders against election denialism, signal his continued influence, while Lula administration support bolsters his position absent a major scandal or coalition shift.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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