In Alabama's 1st Congressional District Republican primary set for May 19, trader consensus reflects a fragmented seven-candidate field, with James Dees holding a slim edge over former Rep. Jerry Carl and State Rep. Rhett Marques amid high undecideds shown in the March 18 Alabama Poll (Carl 28%, Marques 19%, others 53%). Carl's name recognition from prior service provides a polling lead, but his recent remarks calling the immigration system "too tight" have sparked GOP primary voter backlash, while Marques benefits from superior fundraising, Sen. Katie Britt's contribution, and $185,000 in recent super PAC support from Alabama Christian Conservatives. Divergence from polls highlights market bets on consolidation; endorsements, debates, or fresh polls could tip the balance toward a runoff on June 16.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоJames Dees 43%
Jerry Carl 30%
Rhett Marques 30%
Joshua McKee 26%
$37,028 Объем
$37,028 Объем
James Dees
43%
Jerry Carl
30%
Rhett Marques
30%
Joshua McKee
26%
John Mills
16%
James Richardson
16%
Austin Sidwell
8%
James Dees 43%
Jerry Carl 30%
Rhett Marques 30%
Joshua McKee 26%
$37,028 Объем
$37,028 Объем
James Dees
43%
Jerry Carl
30%
Rhett Marques
30%
Joshua McKee
26%
John Mills
16%
James Richardson
16%
Austin Sidwell
8%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In Alabama's 1st Congressional District Republican primary set for May 19, trader consensus reflects a fragmented seven-candidate field, with James Dees holding a slim edge over former Rep. Jerry Carl and State Rep. Rhett Marques amid high undecideds shown in the March 18 Alabama Poll (Carl 28%, Marques 19%, others 53%). Carl's name recognition from prior service provides a polling lead, but his recent remarks calling the immigration system "too tight" have sparked GOP primary voter backlash, while Marques benefits from superior fundraising, Sen. Katie Britt's contribution, and $185,000 in recent super PAC support from Alabama Christian Conservatives. Divergence from polls highlights market bets on consolidation; endorsements, debates, or fresh polls could tip the balance toward a runoff on June 16.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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