Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Alphabet as the overwhelming favorite at 73.5% implied probability to hold third-largest market capitalization by April 30, 2026, reflecting its current $3.47 trillion valuation—trailing NVIDIA ($4.24 trillion) and Apple ($3.73 trillion)—bolstered by a 5% daily share price surge amid AI sector momentum and competitor stumbles like OpenAI's Sora setbacks. Apple's 21.5% odds for third stem from its narrower 2.9% daily gain, exposing vulnerability in the $260 billion gap if iPhone services growth or Q1 FY2026 earnings (due late April) underwhelm versus Alphabet's. Lower probabilities for NVIDIA (2.8%) and Microsoft (1.4%) underscore entrenched top-two positioning, with no near-term catalysts threatening the hierarchy amid elevated trading volumes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоAlphabet 74%
Apple 22%
NVIDIA 2.6%
Microsoft 1.4%
$692,709 Объем
$692,709 Объем

Alphabet
74%

Apple
22%

NVIDIA
3%

Microsoft
1%

Oracle
<1%

Saudi Aramco
<1%

Tesla
<1%

Amazon
<1%
Alphabet 74%
Apple 22%
NVIDIA 2.6%
Microsoft 1.4%
$692,709 Объем
$692,709 Объем

Alphabet
74%

Apple
22%

NVIDIA
3%

Microsoft
1%

Oracle
<1%

Saudi Aramco
<1%

Tesla
<1%

Amazon
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Mar 20, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Alphabet as the overwhelming favorite at 73.5% implied probability to hold third-largest market capitalization by April 30, 2026, reflecting its current $3.47 trillion valuation—trailing NVIDIA ($4.24 trillion) and Apple ($3.73 trillion)—bolstered by a 5% daily share price surge amid AI sector momentum and competitor stumbles like OpenAI's Sora setbacks. Apple's 21.5% odds for third stem from its narrower 2.9% daily gain, exposing vulnerability in the $260 billion gap if iPhone services growth or Q1 FY2026 earnings (due late April) underwhelm versus Alphabet's. Lower probabilities for NVIDIA (2.8%) and Microsoft (1.4%) underscore entrenched top-two positioning, with no near-term catalysts threatening the hierarchy amid elevated trading volumes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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