Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?
PolíTica Dos EUA·Politics

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

1%

May 14

$2M Vol.

$140K Liq.

35

Ends in 2 months

Will the next elected US president be a woman?
PolíTica Dos EUA·Politics

Will the next elected US president be a woman?

18%

$9.6K Vol.

$35.3K Liq.

1

Ends in over 2 years

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
PolíTica Dos EUA·Politics

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

84%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$312K Vol.

$17.9K Liq.

10

Ends in 8 months

Presidential Election Winner 2028
PolíTica Dos EUA·Politics

Presidential Election Winner 2028

20%

JD Vance

$400M Vol.

$3M today

$26M Liq.

724

Ends in over 2 years

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
PolíTica Dos EUA·Politics

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

11%

December 31

$3M Vol.

$119K today

$196K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
PolíTica Dos EUA·Politics

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

56%

Democratic

$1M Vol.

$713K Liq.

56

Ends in over 2 years

US x Russia military clash by...?
PolíTica Dos EUA·Politics

US x Russia military clash by...?

12%

December 31, 2026

$573K Vol.

$16.9K Liq.

13

Ends in 10 months

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
PolíTica Dos EUA·Politics

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

25%

≤47

$779K Vol.

$565K today

$165K Liq.

4

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?
PolíTica Dos EUA·Politics

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

76%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$262K today

$238K Liq.

42

Ends in 18 days

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
PolíTica Dos EUA·Politics

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

48%

Democrats Sweep

$4M Vol.

$139K today

$487K Liq.

124

Ends in 8 months

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
PolíTica Dos EUA·Politics

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

51%

Democratic Party

$856K Vol.

$94.8K today

$362K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Republican 2026 House odds hit___ by March 31?
PolíTica Dos EUA·Politics

Republican 2026 House odds hit___ by March 31?

4%

↓ 10%

$169K Vol.

$78.1K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Blue tsunami in 2026?
PolíTica Dos EUA·Politics

Blue tsunami in 2026?

46%

$19.1K Vol.

$10.9K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
PolíTica Dos EUA·Politics

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

28%

Below 190

$9.7K Vol.

$68.7K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Blue wave in 2026?
PolíTica Dos EUA·Politics

Blue wave in 2026?

70%

$23.2K Vol.

$7.8K Liq.

3

Ends in 9 months

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?
PolíTica Dos EUA·Politics

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

42%

December 31, 2026

$85.7K Vol.

$16.2K Liq.

2

Ends in 10 months

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
PolíTica Dos EUA·Politics

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

29%

Democrats 6-8%

$189 Vol.

$23.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

2026 U.S. House election: Republicans flip the Democrats by...?
PolíTica Dos EUA·Politics

2026 U.S. House election: Republicans flip the Democrats by...?

1%

March 31

$41.0K Vol.

$9.7K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
PolíTica Dos EUA·Politics

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

3%

$54.3K Vol.

$12.1K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?
PolíTica Dos EUA·Politics

ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?

84%

Not Extended & Democratic Party

$384K Vol.

$15.7K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like PolíTica Dos EUA.

Polymarket currently hosts 418 active markets for PolíTica Dos EUA that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $414.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Blue wave in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Presidential Election Winner 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Presidential Election Winner 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 20% chance to JD Vance. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on PolíTica Dos EUA predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.