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Governo Dos EUA previsões e probabilidades

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Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

27%

December 31, 2026

$101K Vol.

$11.7K Liq.

4

Ends em 8 meses

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

82%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$321K Vol.

$19.8K Liq.

12

Ends em 6 meses

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

27%

December 31

$11M Vol.

$885K today

$408K Liq.

122

Ends em 8 meses

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

42%

7

$1M Vol.

$69.1K Liq.

30

Ends em 8 meses

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

9%

December 31

$5M Vol.

$139K Liq.

70

Ends em 8 meses

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

10%

$560K Vol.

$43.4K Liq.

25

Ends em 8 meses

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

35%

$36.2K Vol.

$20.6K Liq.

1

Ends em 8 meses

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

9%

$70.4K Vol.

$23.8K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Will US annex any territory in 2026?

Will US annex any territory in 2026?

12%

$22.4K Vol.

$17.3K Liq.

7

Ends em 8 meses

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

8%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$19.6K Liq.

79

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?

US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?

13%

$16.1K Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

74%

June 30

$14M Vol.

$942K today

$361K Liq.

340

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?

Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?

1%

$164K Vol.

$19.1K Liq.

11

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

37%

Oil Sanction Relief

$229K Vol.

$91.9K today

$117K Liq.

Ends em 24 dias

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

10%

$552K Vol.

$18.6K Liq.

31

Ends em 8 meses

Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?

Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?

77%

May 31

$10.6K Vol.

$48.9K Liq.

Ends em 24 dias

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

92%

$159K Vol.

$34.7K Liq.

19

Ends em 8 meses

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

94%

$705K Vol.

$95.9K Liq.

63

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...?

Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...?

7%

December 31, 2026

$385K Vol.

$18.3K Liq.

50

Ends em 8 meses

AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

95%

$48.3K Vol.

$10.2K Liq.

37

Ends em 8 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Governo Dos EUA.

Polymarket currently hosts 271 active markets for Governo Dos EUA that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $36.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 74% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Governo Dos EUA predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.