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Tairffs previsões e probabilidades

·
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?

US x China tariff agreement by May 31?

34%

$67.5K Vol.

$18.7K Liq.

5

Ends em 14 dias

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

3%

$46.3K Vol.

$7.5K Liq.

4

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

7%

$33.6K Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

4

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?

8%

$11.5K Vol.

$10.3K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

3%

Iran

$12M Vol.

$2M today

$841K Liq.

1,967

Ends há 2 dias

Trump-Xi Summit: What will Trump announce by May 22?

Trump-Xi Summit: What will Trump announce by May 22?

46%

US-China Board of Trade

$117K Vol.

$94.5K Liq.

23

Ends em 5 dias

Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Team Stels (BO3) - European Pro League Group A

Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Team Stels (BO3) - European Pro League Group A

100%

Rune Eaters

$14.4K Vol.

$1 Liq.

Ends há 15 dias

Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Group A

Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Group A

100%

Power Rangers

$32.4K Vol.

Ends há 12 dias

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B

100%

Natus Vincere

$1M Vol.

$1M today

$157K Liq.

Ends há cerca de 4 horas

Valorant: TEC Esports vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 2

Valorant: TEC Esports vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 2

100%

TEC Esports

$3.6K Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

Ends há cerca de 12 horas

Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

77%

December 31

$508K Vol.

$27.7K Liq.

46

Ends há 17 dias

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

38%

Ceasefire / Cease-fire / Cease fire

$10.8K Vol.

$505 Liq.

Ends há cerca de 3 horas

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

94%

Big / Bigger / Biggest

$262 Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B

100%

Tundra Esports

$2M Vol.

$2M today

$33.8K Liq.

Ends há cerca de 11 horas

US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by June 30?

US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by June 30?

18%

$94 Vol.

$8.5K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Dota 2: Inner Circle vs ALIS VENTORUS (BO3) - European Pro League Group A

Dota 2: Inner Circle vs ALIS VENTORUS (BO3) - European Pro League Group A

100%

Inner Circle

$5.9K Vol.

Ends há 16 dias

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

33%

December 31

$3.6K Vol.

$173K Liq.

2

Ends em 8 meses

Dota 2: South America Rejects vs ALIS VENTORUS (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffs

Dota 2: South America Rejects vs ALIS VENTORUS (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffs

100%

South America Rejects

$18.8K Vol.

Ends há 20 dias

Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?

Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?

13%

$1.8K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs HOTU (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs HOTU (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs

HOTU

$9.4K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há 3 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Tairffs.

Polymarket currently hosts 113 active markets for Tairffs that lets you track or trade on predictions like “US x China tariff agreement by May 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $15.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping? ,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping? ,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to Peng. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Tairffs predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.