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Lula previsões e probabilidades

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Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

81%

$10.9K Vol.

$12.6K Liq.

1

Ends em 3 meses

Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

43%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$74M Vol.

$4M today

$5M Liq.

6,503

Ends em 5 meses

Who will Trump speak to in May?

Who will Trump speak to in May?

95%

Elon Musk

$625K Vol.

$72.2K today

$141K Liq.

Ends em 16 dias

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

65%

Flávio Bolsonaro

$4M Vol.

$54.1K today

$286K Liq.

34

Ends em 5 meses

Who will Trump meet with in May?

Who will Trump meet with in May?

100%

Elon Musk

$355K Vol.

$70.3K Liq.

Ends em 16 dias

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

88%

Giorgia Meloni

$479K Vol.

$135K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

43%

Starmer - UK PM

$282K Vol.

$284K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

83%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$316K Vol.

$91.5K Liq.

104

Ends em 5 meses

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

36%

Romeu Zema

$277K Vol.

$135K Liq.

43

Ends em 5 meses

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

31%

Lula da Silva <5%

$231K Vol.

$72.8K Liq.

10

Ends em 5 meses

LoL: Lupus Esports vs REDPack Esports (BO3) - EBL Playoffs

LoL: Lupus Esports vs REDPack Esports (BO3) - EBL Playoffs

Lupus Esports

$1.7K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há 3 meses

Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

74%

PL

$5.3K Vol.

$27.6K Liq.

2

Ends em 5 meses

LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs LUA Gaming (BO3) - LES Regular Season

LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs LUA Gaming (BO3) - LES Regular Season

92%

UCAM Esports Club

$5.4K Vol.

$108K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 8 horas

São Paulo Governor Election Winner

São Paulo Governor Election Winner

83%

Tarcísio de Freitas

$20.7K Vol.

$52.5K Liq.

3

Ends em 5 meses

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held

75%

PL

$13.9K Vol.

$34.2K Liq.

2

Ends em 5 meses

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won

76%

PL

$254K Vol.

$54.7K Liq.

9

Ends em 5 meses

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

13%

$65.1K Vol.

$12.5K Liq.

32

Ends em 5 meses

Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner

Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner

50%

Cleitinho Azevedo

$17.4K Vol.

$61.1K Liq.

4

Ends em 5 meses

Ceará Governor Election Winner

Ceará Governor Election Winner

63%

Ciro Gomes

$53.2K Vol.

$29.4K Liq.

7

Ends em 5 meses

AA Ponte Preta vs. Londrina EC

AA Ponte Preta vs. Londrina EC

43%

AA Ponte Preta

$11 Vol.

$7.6K Liq.

Ends em 4 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Lula.

Polymarket currently hosts 114 active markets for Lula that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $80.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Brazil Presidential Election,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Brazil Presidential Election,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 43% chance to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Lula predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.