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Lula previsões e probabilidades

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Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?

Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?

83%

December 31

$8.1K Vol.

$23.8K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

81%

$30.9K Vol.

$8.8K Liq.

6

Ends em 2 meses

Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

41%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$94M Vol.

$356K today

$9M Liq.

8,952

Ends em 4 meses

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

56%

Petro - Colombia President

$594K Vol.

$399K Liq.

9

Ends em 7 meses

Who will Trump speak to in June?

Who will Trump speak to in June?

76%

Lula da Silva

$156K Vol.

$206K Liq.

Ends em 26 dias

Who will Trump speak to in May?

Who will Trump speak to in May?

99%

Ahmed al-Sharaa

$1M Vol.

$81.2K Liq.

Ends há 4 dias

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

19%

Renan Santos

$4M Vol.

$464K Liq.

40

Ends em 4 meses

Who will Trump meet with in June?

Who will Trump meet with in June?

94%

Keir Starmer

$45.9K Vol.

$133K Liq.

Ends em 26 dias

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

96%

Keir Starmer

$526K Vol.

$152K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

32%

Lula da Silva <5%

$238K Vol.

$130K Liq.

14

Ends em 4 meses

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

74%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$370K Vol.

$103K Liq.

112

Ends em 4 meses

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

42%

Renan Santos

$314K Vol.

$288K Liq.

46

Ends em 4 meses

ITF Brasilia: Gabriella Price vs Luiza Fullana

ITF Brasilia: Gabriella Price vs Luiza Fullana

78%

Luiza Fullana

$848 Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

79%

PL

$8.1K Vol.

$194K Liq.

1

Ends em 4 meses

Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner

Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner

43%

Juliana Brizola

$58.7K Vol.

$57.1K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

São Paulo Governor Election Winner

São Paulo Governor Election Winner

83%

Tarcísio de Freitas

$59.0K Vol.

$108K Liq.

3

Ends em 4 meses

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held

81%

PL

$14.2K Vol.

$50.3K Liq.

3

Ends em 4 meses

ITF Cuiaba: Enzo Kohlmann de Freitas vs Glauco Pinheiro Da Cruz Junior

ITF Cuiaba: Enzo Kohlmann de Freitas vs Glauco Pinheiro Da Cruz Junior

92%

Enzo Kohlmann de Freitas

$45 Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won

74%

PL

$255K Vol.

$51.7K Liq.

9

Ends em 4 meses

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

16%

$68.8K Vol.

$18.4K Liq.

31

Ends em 4 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Lula.

Polymarket currently hosts 117 active markets for Lula that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $101.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Brazil Presidential Election,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Brazil Presidential Election,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 41% chance to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Lula predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.