Kurds declare independence from Iran?

Kurds declare independence from Iran?

10%

$113K Vol.

$33.2K Liq.

9

Ends em 3 meses

Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?

Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?

20%

$12.7K Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

18%

$43.5K Vol.

$17.9K Liq.

6

Ends em 9 meses

Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

6%

$20.1K Vol.

$43.3K Liq.

8

Ends em 9 meses

KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?

KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?

2%

$34.9K Vol.

$24.2K Liq.

Ends em 26 dias

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

76%

$283K Vol.

$55.2K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

17%

$535K Vol.

$49.0K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

15%

$51.9K Vol.

$21.1K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?

Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?

4%

$21.4K Vol.

$13.1K Liq.

2

Ends em 3 meses

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

13%

Lebanese Forces (LF)

$221K Vol.

$107K Liq.

13

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

53%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$11.9K Liq.

108

Ends em 3 meses

What price will Hyperliquid hit in April?

What price will Hyperliquid hit in April?

90%

↓ 32

$11.7K Vol.

$66.2K Liq.

Ends em 28 dias

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

18%

April 30

$51.7K Vol.

$8.0K Liq.

18

Ends em 26 dias

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

36%

December 31, 2026

$439K Vol.

$4.9K Liq.

28

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

99%

Isfahan nuclear facility

$733K Vol.

$194K today

$36.3K Liq.

257

What price will Chainlink hit in April?

What price will Chainlink hit in April?

50%

↓ 8

$310 Vol.

$23.5K Liq.

Ends em 28 dias

What price will XRP hit in April?

What price will XRP hit in April?

70%

↑ 1.40

$75.5K Vol.

$430K Liq.

Ends em 28 dias

US recognize Somaliland by...?

US recognize Somaliland by...?

6%

June 30

$11.3K Vol.

$4.9K Liq.

1

Ends em 3 meses

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

67%

>$600M

$15M Vol.

$83.5K today

$474K Liq.

259

Ends em 3 meses

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

84%

50

$16.2K Vol.

$5.7K Liq.

2

Ends em 9 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like IndependêNcia.

Polymarket currently hosts 112 active markets for IndependêNcia that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Kurds declare independence from Iran?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $19.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 67% chance to >$600M. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on IndependêNcia predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.