Skip to main content

IndependêNcia previsões e probabilidades

·
Kurds declare independence from Iran?

Kurds declare independence from Iran?

6%

$141K Vol.

$20.6K Liq.

12

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

9%

$69.6K Vol.

$37.8K Liq.

7

Ends em 8 meses

KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

9%

$52.8K Vol.

$17.9K Liq.

3

Ends em 8 meses

Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

4%

$23.8K Vol.

$12.7K Liq.

8

Ends em 8 meses

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

7%

Amal Movement (Amal)

$532K Vol.

$159K Liq.

14

Ends em 14 dias

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

97%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

125

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?

Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?

3%

$28.2K Vol.

$13.2K Liq.

2

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

55%

December 31, 2027

$480K Vol.

$5.7K Liq.

33

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

4%

May 31

$146K Vol.

$18.9K Liq.

10

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?

38%

May 31

$288K Vol.

$54.1K Liq.

9

Ends em 14 dias

US recognize Somaliland by...?

US recognize Somaliland by...?

6%

June 30

$11.5K Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

2

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

50%

$424K Vol.

$27.7K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

83%

50

$18.3K Vol.

$6.6K Liq.

2

Ends em 8 meses

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in May 2026?

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in May 2026?

74%

↑ $304

$125K Vol.

$35.4K Liq.

Ends em 15 dias

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

59%

↓ 75,000

$18M Vol.

$1M today

$4M Liq.

2

Ends em 15 dias

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

41%

Baby

$10.8K Vol.

$446 Liq.

Ends há cerca de 5 horas

Zelenskyy # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

48%

80-99

$7.1K Vol.

$4.4K Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

Zelenskyy # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

35%

80-99

$833 Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

Ends em 9 dias

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

43%

↓ 30

$21.8K Vol.

$268 Liq.

3

Ends em 8 meses

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

93%

Big / Bigger / Biggest

$283 Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like IndependêNcia.

Polymarket currently hosts 107 active markets for IndependêNcia that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Kurds declare independence from Iran?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $22.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Kurds declare independence from Iran?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What price will Bitcoin hit in May?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What price will Bitcoin hit in May?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to ↑ 80,000. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on IndependêNcia predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.