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Gpt 4.5 previsões e probabilidades

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GPT-5.6 released by...?

GPT-5.6 released by...?

94%

July 31

$51.4K Vol.

$31.5K Liq.

1

Ends em 2 meses

When will GPT-5.6 be released?

When will GPT-5.6 be released?

37%

June 1–June 7

$822 Vol.

$10.1K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

82%

December 31, 2026

$304K Vol.

$12.7K Liq.

45

Ends há 5 meses

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

35%

50%+

$23.2K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

1

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

59%

60%+

$35.5K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

4

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

What will happen before GTA VI?

What will happen before GTA VI?

66%

GPT-6 released

$22M Vol.

$657K Liq.

852

Ends em 3 meses

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

93%

September 30

$10.3K Vol.

$13.3K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Pacific Playoffs

Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Pacific Playoffs

69%

Paper Rex

$116K Vol.

$116K today

$33.4K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 6 horas

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

Atreides

$1.8K Vol.

$1 Liq.

Ends há 3 dias

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

61%

Spirit

$363K Vol.

$363K today

$749K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 7 horas

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs LFO (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #4 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs LFO (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #4 Playoffs

100%

ENJOY

$904 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há cerca de 1 mês

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

42%

2

$16.8K Vol.

$6.4K Liq.

2

Ends em 14 dias

English Premier League - Top 4 Finish

English Premier League - Top 4 Finish

63%

Aston Villa

$2M Vol.

$22.6K Liq.

23

Ends em 10 dias

Counter-Strike: SHISHKA vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: SHISHKA vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

SHISHKA

$603 Vol.

Ends há 5 dias

Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

11%

June 30, 2026

$156K Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

30

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Counter-Strike: Skele vs LE-LUX Esports (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Group B

Counter-Strike: Skele vs LE-LUX Esports (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Group B

Skele

$4.6K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há 3 meses

Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Keyd (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage

Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Keyd (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage

57%

Galorys

$2.0K Vol.

$6.8K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 16 horas

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

60%

0

$1M Vol.

$33.4K Liq.

9

Ends em 11 meses

Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Endless Journey (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Endless Journey (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

Endless Journey

$1.4K Vol.

Ends há 8 dias

Counter-Strike: Dripmen vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Dripmen vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

50%

Fire Flux Esports

$67.5K Vol.

$937 Liq.

Ends há 7 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Gpt 4.5.

Polymarket currently hosts 107 active markets for Gpt 4.5 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “GPT-5.6 released by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $26.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Pacific Playoffs”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What will happen before GTA VI?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What will happen before GTA VI?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Gpt 4.5 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.