PolíTica Global previsões e probabilidades

Geopolitics·Putin

Qual partido ganhará mais assentos nas eleições parlamentares russas?

$51M Vol.

$10M today

$5M Liq.

1,478

Ends há 1 dia

99%

Rússia Unida (ER)

$51M Vol.

$10M today

$5M Liq.

1,478

Ends há 1 dia

Geopolitics·Earn 4%

Xi Jinping sair antes de 2027?

$14M Vol.

$616K Liq.

709

Ends em 3 meses

$14M Vol.

$616K Liq.

709

Ends em 3 meses

Geopolitics·Putin

Vencedor da eleição parlamentar da Rússia

$5M Vol.

$550K today

$890K Liq.

Ends há 1 dia

100%

Rússia Unida (ER)

$5M Vol.

$550K today

$890K Liq.

Ends há 1 dia

Elections·Brazil

Eleição presidencial no Brasil

$152M Vol.

$257K today

$20M Liq.

19,186

Ends em 13 dias

59%

Flávio Bolsonaro

$152M Vol.

$257K today

$20M Liq.

19,186

Ends em 13 dias

Geopolitics·China

Choque militar China x Índia por...?

$331K Vol.

$15.4K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

$331K Vol.

$15.4K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Geopolitics·Israel

Primeiro-Ministro de Israel após as próximas eleições?

$38M Vol.

$236K today

$3M Liq.

701

Ends em 3 meses

53%

Gadi Eizenkot

$38M Vol.

$236K today

$3M Liq.

701

Ends em 3 meses

Elections·Global Elections

Vencedor da eleição presidencial de 2028

$707M Vol.

$105K today

$60M Liq.

1,033

Ends em cerca de 2 anos

21%

JD Vance

$707M Vol.

$105K today

$60M Liq.

1,033

Ends em cerca de 2 anos

World·Parlays

Nada Nunca Acontece: 2026

$793K Vol.

$38.8K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

82%

$793K Vol.

$38.8K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Elections·Global Elections

Candidato presidencial republicano 2028

$707M Vol.

$102K today

$52M Liq.

438

Ends em cerca de 2 anos

51%

J.D. Vance

$707M Vol.

$102K today

$52M Liq.

438

Ends em cerca de 2 anos

Elections·French Election

Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas

$136M Vol.

$93.1K today

$16M Liq.

768

Ends em 7 meses

37%

Marine Le Pen

$136M Vol.

$93.1K today

$16M Liq.

768

Ends em 7 meses

Geopolitics·NATO

Os países da OTAN entrarão em conflito antes de 2027?

$60.9K Vol.

$23.5K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

$60.9K Vol.

$23.5K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Elections·Global Elections

Assentos do Rússia Unida nas próximas eleições legislativas russas?

$2M Vol.

$629K today

$409K Liq.

Ends há 1 dia

70%

340–354

$2M Vol.

$629K today

$409K Liq.

Ends há 1 dia

Elections·Brazil

Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 2º lugar

$8M Vol.

$100K today

$2M Liq.

Ends em 13 dias

69%

Flávio Bolsonaro

$8M Vol.

$100K today

$2M Liq.

Ends em 13 dias

Geopolitics·Israel

Israel e Indonésia normalizam as relações por...?

$3M Vol.

$9.7K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

$3M Vol.

$9.7K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

World·Sweden

Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Suécia

$9M Vol.

$148K today

$1M Liq.

217

Ends há 8 dias

86%

Magdalena Andersson

$9M Vol.

$148K today

$1M Liq.

217

Ends há 8 dias

Elections·Global Elections

Equilíbrio de Poder: Médio Prazo 2026

$13M Vol.

$110K today

$1M Liq.

292

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

61%

Democratas Vencem Tudo

$13M Vol.

$110K today

$1M Liq.

292

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Geopolitics·Greece

Engajamento militar Grécia x Turquia por...?

$1M Vol.

$8.6K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

$1M Vol.

$8.6K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Elections·Global Elections

Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

$1M Vol.

$595K today

$222K Liq.

130

Ends há 1 dia

83%

59-62%

$1M Vol.

$595K today

$222K Liq.

130

Ends há 1 dia

Elections·Global Elections

Qual partido ganhará a Câmara em 2026?

$12M Vol.

$82.3K today

$2M Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

93%

Partido Democrata

$12M Vol.

$82.3K today

$2M Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Geopolitics·China

O bloqueio ao Irã foi suspenso antes de Xi visitar os EUA?

$2.0K Vol.

$9.9K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

$2.0K Vol.

$9.9K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

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Estado do evento

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like PolíTica Global.

Polymarket currently hosts 647 active markets for PolíTica Global that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Qual partido ganhará mais assentos nas eleições parlamentares russas?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.9B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Israel e Indonésia normalizam as relações por...?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Vencedor da eleição presidencial de 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Vencedor da eleição presidencial de 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 21% chance to JD Vance. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on PolíTica Global predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for PolíTica Global shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “Vencedor da eleição presidencial de 2028” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the PolíTica Global prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Qual partido ganhará mais assentos nas eleições parlamentares russas?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the PolíTica Global prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

PolíTica Global previsões e probabilidades

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of PolíTica Global prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do PolíTica Global markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top PolíTica Global prediction?

Why use Polymarket for PolíTica Global predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s PolíTica Global odds?

Can I track PolíTica Global predictions without trading?

How do I get started with PolíTica Global markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of PolíTica Global prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do PolíTica Global markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top PolíTica Global prediction?

Why use Polymarket for PolíTica Global predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s PolíTica Global odds?

Can I track PolíTica Global predictions without trading?

How do I get started with PolíTica Global markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

PolíTica Global previsões e probabilidades