Market icon
Política·Ucrânia

Zelensky sairá como presidente da Ucrânia até o final de 2026?

Market icon
Política·Ucrânia

Zelensky sairá como presidente da Ucrânia até o final de 2026?

jun 30

dez 31

jun 30

dez 31

Sim

20% acaso
Polymarket

$2,023,675 Vol.

Sim

20% acaso
Polymarket

$2,023,675 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing martial law in Ukraine, extended by the Verkhovna Rada through early 2026 and reaffirmed in recent parliamentary votes, constitutionally prohibits presidential elections under Article 19 of the martial law statute, solidifying President Zelenskyy's position past his original May 2024 term end. Zelenskyy reiterated at the February 2026 Munich Security Conference that elections require a ceasefire and security guarantees, a stance echoed by the electoral commission in March, ruling out a fair 2026 vote until at least six months post-ceasefire amid active Russian invasion. Absent mass protests, viable challengers, or de-escalation on frontlines, traders price an 80.5% "No" probability, viewing removal by year-end as improbable without seismic diplomatic breakthroughs like peace talks or U.S.-brokered settlements.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,023,675
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x157Ce2d67...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing martial law in Ukraine, extended by the Verkhovna Rada through early 2026 and reaffirmed in recent parliamentary votes, constitutionally prohibits presidential elections under Article 19 of the martial law statute, solidifying President Zelenskyy's position past his original May 2024 term end. Zelenskyy reiterated at the February 2026 Munich Security Conference that elections require a ceasefire and security guarantees, a stance echoed by the electoral commission in March, ruling out a fair 2026 vote until at least six months post-ceasefire amid active Russian invasion. Absent mass protests, viable challengers, or de-escalation on frontlines, traders price an 80.5% "No" probability, viewing removal by year-end as improbable without seismic diplomatic breakthroughs like peace talks or U.S.-brokered settlements.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,023,675
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x157Ce2d67...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Zelensky sairá como presidente da Ucrânia até o final de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Zelenskyy deixará de ser presidente da Ucrânia até o final de 2026?" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 20¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 20% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Zelensky sairá como presidente da Ucrânia até o final de 2026?" has generated $2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 24, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Zelensky sairá como presidente da Ucrânia até o final de 2026?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Zelensky sairá como presidente da Ucrânia até o final de 2026?" is "Zelenskyy deixará de ser presidente da Ucrânia até o final de 2026?" at 20%, meaning the market assigns a 20% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Zelensky sairá como presidente da Ucrânia até o final de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.