Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no presidential pardon for Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026, reflecting the absence of any executive action despite repeated appeals from her legal team over the past year. Maxwell, serving a 20-year federal sentence for sex trafficking tied to Jeffrey Epstein, saw her lawyer publicly affirm ongoing pardon efforts as recently as March 13, 2026, following a February House Oversight deposition where she invoked the Fifth Amendment but offered testimony exonerating Trump and Clinton in exchange for clemency. White House statements in late 2025 denied active consideration, while Senate resolutions like Sen. Rosen's opposed relief, underscoring bipartisan political risks amid Trump's focus on other pardons for political allies. No DOJ signals or scheduled hearings indicate movement, with her prison transfer to a low-security facility fueling speculation but not altering inaction.